TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,327,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,494,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,327,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes1c375,675$4,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,605.72339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+122.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes0c278,967$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.97430%0 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes4c234,298$9,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,017.8163835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d40…09abbacked Yes6c127,558$7,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,520195.3%1 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5342…d243backed Yes5c123,434$5,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,934.82425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes4c75,453$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.0535123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes2c71,938$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320180%0 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes0c67,013$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.111488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c59,995$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.993013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-63.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes4c58,715$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.8311316.8%19 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50506%3 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-90.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6faf…4581backed Yes4c40,568$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.0670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes9c38,827$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,610.8750%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes7c36,459$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.4213117.6%23 W · 108 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c98…ef88backed Yes4c31,483$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.41494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes5c30,794$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.646835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c27,222$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.696785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes4c27,124$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.8787828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes0c25,372$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.06234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes5c24,997$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.961422.1%3 W · 139 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e8…c707backed Yes3c24,811$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.84015%6 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc72…7193backed Yes5c22,500$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.5650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Yes4c21,547$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.331118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked Yes3c21,355$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.6311720.5%24 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ea…701ebacked Yes2c20,540$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9200%0 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20400%0 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7991…e472backed Yes3c20,000$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes1c19,717$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.06320%0 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes3c17,164$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.113998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes3c16,328$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.71792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes2c16,297$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.663511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-70.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes4c15,839$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.5337745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2439…886dbacked Yes3c15,649$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af1…7b88backed Yes7c14,396$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.13414.7%5 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710%0 W · 71 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7102…19aebacked Yes3c13,873$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa94e…24e0backed Yes4c13,627$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26f…03ebbacked Yes1c13,478$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…239dbacked Yes5c13,437$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.411822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd64…3a57backed Yes4c13,182$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes3c12,847$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753923.1%9 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+103.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes4c12,678$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3958126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes4c12,480$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.652913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…efe0backed Yes4c12,127$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.67320%0 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes3c12,080$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.862581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310%0 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes3c11,611$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.782683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes3c11,494$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.151373.6%5 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes3c11,468$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.25306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…55b5backed Yes4c11,217$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f7f…2352backed Yes7c11,033$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.75726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes2c10,432$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.941333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41e5…da8fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cf…3d10backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c9,537$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.441490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb392…fc73backed Yes3c9,430$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.424912.2%6 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes0c9,423$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.77240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83de…6cd2backed Yes2c9,000$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4792…33b2backed Yes1c8,851$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c8,800$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe53…7682backed Yes1c8,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes2c7,921$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.131672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6d…b78abacked Yes3c6,765$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…9627backed Yes3c6,328$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-89.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes4c6,200$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.48250%0 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3822…b720backed Yes5c6,000$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2768634.9%30 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes0c5,690$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.07229.1%2 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes2c5,645$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.35985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes2c5,301$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.51590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78c…3469backed Yes6c5,153$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.77861.2%1 W · 85 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-87.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57ee…e231backed Yes0c5,143$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25190%0 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c07…1bb5backed Yes7c5,092$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed Yes4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f64…52d2backed Yes3c4,986$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.75190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba3…c20dbacked Yes4c4,446$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1168…8d94backed Yes4c4,313$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.021010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-57.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c8…55b3backed Yes4c4,293$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa27…0c21backed Yes1c4,290$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c4,115$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.48185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…374fbacked Yes3c4,050$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1780%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14d9…407dbacked Yes3c4,041$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6200%0 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes4c4,032$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.18362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-72.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…dd8ebacked Yes1c3,747$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+129.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes0c3,740$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf77b…26d6backed Yes3c3,684$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.85120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes2c3,640$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.261118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-66.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c88…1e99backed Yes3c3,606$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd319…07edbacked Yes2c3,500$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes7c3,476$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1614337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes1c3,443$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x083c…f78cbacked Yes5c3,380$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.55270%0 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Yes3c3,348$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes3c3,233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2955…b736backed Yes5c3,175$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155296.9%2 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-84.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes3c3,091$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.811931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902548%12 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c1…b52abacked Yes5c2,973$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0250%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes3c2,956$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.84449.1%4 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-85.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Yes2c2,771$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45220%0 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.