Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee4feb22e065060b9af73c53887c83bbbfc5246d98ec38e190bf127fadcf456c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,327,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,494,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,327,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 1c | 375,675$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.72 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 0c | 278,967$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 4c | 234,298$9,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,017.81 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 6c | 127,558$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 5c | 123,434$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,934.8 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 75,453$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.05 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 2c | 71,938$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 67,013$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.11 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 59,995$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 4c | 58,715$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.83 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…4581backed Yes | 4c | 40,568$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 9c | 38,827$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 36,459$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.42 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 4c | 31,483$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.41 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 5c | 30,794$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.64 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 27,222$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.69 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 4c | 27,124$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.87 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 25,372$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 5c | 24,997$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.96 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 3c | 24,811$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.8 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…7193backed Yes | 5c | 22,500$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 4c | 21,547$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 3c | 21,355$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.63 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 2c | 20,540$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.9 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7991…e472backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 19,717$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.06 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 3c | 17,164$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.11 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 3c | 16,328$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.7 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 2c | 16,297$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.66 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 4c | 15,839$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.53 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…886dbacked Yes | 3c | 15,649$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 7c | 14,396$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.1 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…19aebacked Yes | 3c | 13,873$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…24e0backed Yes | 4c | 13,627$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26f…03ebbacked Yes | 1c | 13,478$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…239dbacked Yes | 5c | 13,437$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…3a57backed Yes | 4c | 13,182$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 3c | 12,847$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 4c | 12,678$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.39 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 4c | 12,480$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.65 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 4c | 12,127$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.67 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 12,080$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 11,611$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.78 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,494$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 3c | 11,468$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…55b5backed Yes | 4c | 11,217$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 7c | 11,033$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.7 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 10,432$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…da8fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…3d10backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 9,537$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 3c | 9,430$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 0c | 9,423$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…6cd2backed Yes | 2c | 9,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…33b2backed Yes | 1c | 8,851$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 8,800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe53…7682backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,921$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6d…b78abacked Yes | 3c | 6,765$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…9627backed Yes | 3c | 6,328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 4c | 6,200$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.48 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 0c | 5,690$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 5,645$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,301$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 6c | 5,153$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.77 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 0c | 5,143$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…1bb5backed Yes | 7c | 5,092$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 3c | 4,986$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…c20dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,446$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…8d94backed Yes | 4c | 4,313$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c8…55b3backed Yes | 4c | 4,293$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…0c21backed Yes | 1c | 4,290$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 4,115$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…374fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,050$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,041$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 4c | 4,032$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dd8ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,747$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes | 0c | 3,740$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 3c | 3,684$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 2c | 3,640$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…1e99backed Yes | 3c | 3,606$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…07edbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 7c | 3,476$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,443$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…f78cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,380$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Yes | 3c | 3,348$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 3c | 3,233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 5c | 3,175$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes | 3c | 3,091$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…b52abacked Yes | 5c | 2,973$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,956$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Yes | 2c | 2,771$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.