Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd52879558c981828ab058d9a66207749b6cfed858b547e2b632a5f7888e9437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,676,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,158,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,676,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 3c | 132,810$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.3 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 130,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 97,374$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.14 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 1c | 91,647$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.99 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 2c | 87,938$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.31 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…4581backed Yes | 1c | 84,120$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 0c | 77,137$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…1a93backed Yes | 2c | 46,042$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…ffaabacked Yes | 1c | 40,390$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 1c | 33,524$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.21 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 1c | 33,041$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.22 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 29,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 1c | 28,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…17dcbacked Yes | 2c | 27,786$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 2c | 26,793$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.1 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 26,322$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…382bbacked Yes | 3c | 23,926$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,802$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed Yes | 0c | 18,193$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…e20ebacked Yes | 1c | 18,134$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…daccbacked Yes | 1c | 17,143$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…c056backed Yes | 1c | 16,202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…319cbacked Yes | 4c | 14,183$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…e1d6backed Yes | 1c | 13,387$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 1c | 13,248$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 1c | 13,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 12,165$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5e…37a2backed Yes | 1c | 11,992$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 11,943$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 1c | 11,256$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…cd18backed Yes | 1c | 10,937$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…a0c0backed Yes | 1c | 10,766$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc22…3e94backed Yes | 1c | 10,688$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…b6b6backed Yes | 1c | 10,688$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf73…6b87backed Yes | 1c | 10,184$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…c248backed Yes | 0c | 10,140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…3d3bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 1c | 9,452$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 1c | 8,836$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 8,244$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…476abacked Yes | 1c | 7,748$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 7,283$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 1c | 7,155$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…0b08backed Yes | 1c | 6,959$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,600$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,547$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…5c6fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…3aa7backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 1c | 5,981$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,821$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…da88backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…f2bebacked Yes | 1c | 5,800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…d469backed Yes | 1c | 5,566$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…b2d4backed Yes | 0c | 5,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 2c | 5,202$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e6…ba80backed Yes | 1c | 5,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Yes | 2c | 5,148$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…f44bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…a383backed Yes | 2c | 5,044$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…7827backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e60…db60backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 2c | 4,904$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…c9dabacked Yes | 1c | 4,809$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…0040backed Yes | 2c | 4,750$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 4,744$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…9c24backed Yes | 1c | 4,677$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 1c | 4,662$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…2c4ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,660$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 1c | 4,522$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d56…5970backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 1c | 4,419$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,323$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c86ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…0f98backed Yes | 2c | 4,188$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes | 2c | 4,173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…3f18backed Yes | 1c | 4,038$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…f74dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…ce04backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…ada7backed Yes | 3c | 3,985$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e51…b23cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,863$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…e40cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,700$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…669ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,556$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…d964backed Yes | 1c | 3,530$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…3bd4backed Yes | 1c | 3,455$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 3,320$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,305$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…57d1backed Yes | 1c | 3,112$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…75bfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,085$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,076$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…bc6ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…3579backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…08afbacked Yes | 1c | 2,768$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…0863backed Yes | 1c | 2,679$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,646$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…e2babacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.