Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337e5c84b83679d5557acafcf78b5c5d4d932b9fcd7dfba7966249d64f0f0a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,681,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,533,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,681,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 2c | 656,647$10,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,290.03 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 24c | 273,498$65,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,885.15 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…2329backed Yes | 18c | 267,664$49,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,150.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 8c | 127,329$10,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,026.05 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 2c | 120,487$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.75 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 27c | 117,857$31,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,308.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 15c | 116,014$17,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,734.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 101,524$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336.73 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…74babacked Yes | 24c | 100,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,300.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 22c | 96,199$20,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,741.1 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 2c | 78,554$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.99 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…c08ebacked No | 78c | 65,517$51,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,284.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…f79abacked Yes | 1c | 64,045$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 11c | 60,809$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.99 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Yes | 33c | 59,400$19,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,451.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 58,328$13,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,764.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 8c | 53,500$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.76 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed No | 63c | 53,242$33,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,999.99 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 53c | 50,000$26,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,475.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 73c | 48,824$35,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,004.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Yes | 0c | 48,741$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 45,617$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 50c | 43,825$21,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,912.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…94aabacked Yes | 13c | 43,329$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 42,725$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…4581backed Yes | 1c | 40,312$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…a922backed No | 59c | 34,865$20,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,367.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc643…62a9backed Yes | 7c | 34,234$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…389dbacked Yes | 53c | 33,940$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 33,171$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…7193backed Yes | 29c | 32,200$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…50aebacked Yes | 27c | 31,892$8,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,660.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 27c | 29,859$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 71c | 29,258$20,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,559.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 29c | 28,061$8,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232.62 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…efacbacked Yes | 25c | 28,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 1c | 27,667$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.33 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…fc10backed Yes | 22c | 26,099$5,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…c1d5backed Yes | 17c | 25,969$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.76 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed Yes | 10c | 25,903$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a20…4b67backed Yes | 1c | 25,474$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…a96ebacked No | 76c | 25,412$19,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,118.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked No | 48c | 22,593$10,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.66 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 67c | 22,051$14,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,188.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 9c | 21,648$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.27 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…9c01backed Yes | 9c | 21,483$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 3c | 21,126$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.64 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 21,000$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 75c | 20,954$15,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked No | 59c | 18,770$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,769.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 19c | 18,371$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.51 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 17c | 17,608$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.33 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 17,332$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 59c | 16,953$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,953.17 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ad54backed Yes | 10c | 16,635$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 16,634$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.56 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 67c | 16,537$11,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.48 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 15c | 16,407$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.04 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…8d94backed Yes | 1c | 14,905$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 14,800$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 14,633$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.49 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 61c | 13,897$8,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 77c | 13,817$10,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.91 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…34f9backed Yes | 10c | 12,976$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 79c | 12,816$10,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 74c | 12,430$9,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.24 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 76c | 12,247$9,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 18c | 12,195$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.88 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Yes | 0c | 11,874$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15c…e1e7backed Yes | 1c | 11,793$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 12c | 11,458$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.63 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 17c | 11,358$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes | 8c | 11,014$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.12 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…9085backed Yes | 0c | 10,776$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 8c | 10,760$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,485$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.53 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked Yes | 18c | 10,435$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.07 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…f13ebacked No | 79c | 10,000$7,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…8794backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 9,784$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.81 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 3c | 9,600$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.3 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 2c | 9,598$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.89 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 16c | 9,363$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 12c | 9,331$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.45 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 73c | 9,027$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 55c | 8,730$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…29d0backed Yes | 29c | 8,701$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…7d0abacked No | 74c | 8,567$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 62c | 8,300$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…4701backed Yes | 4c | 8,267$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes | 49c | 8,150$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…8e79backed Yes | 1c | 8,142$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 0c | 8,108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 8,063$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.38 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…c67abacked Yes | 16c | 8,000$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…56d0backed No | 63c | 7,940$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 14c | 7,912$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.