Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffca3bfad52127be101467929ba794fb9d2bc05186f8f52739bc6728e1c6ed14

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,089,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,383,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,089,569 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes	0c	69,558$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.56	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa92d…4e71backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	6%3 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5545…a07dbacked Yes	1c	46,456$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d40…09abbacked Yes	1c	41,589$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes	0c	39,998$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	40	0%0 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97d4…d66abacked Yes	0c	37,999$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes	2c	34,812$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.71	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ed…bb85backed Yes	2c	30,745$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.88	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes	2c	29,348$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	25,477$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-94.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	23,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4232…4159backed Yes	1c	21,837$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes	1c	20,530$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.97	475	4.6%22 W · 453 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+144.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes	1c	20,342$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.7	51	17.6%9 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbebe…d658backed Yes	2c	20,326$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658b…01b8backed Yes	0c	18,689$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.48	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Yes	1c	18,017$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.31	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5759…2d3fbacked Yes	1c	16,261$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.03	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes	1c	14,600$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.8	102	2%2 W · 100 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-91.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9642…d2abbacked Yes	2c	14,534$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	14,480$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.62	149	0.7%1 W · 148 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1087…013bbacked Yes	2c	14,184$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.22	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes	2c	12,691$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.95	140	19.3%27 W · 113 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ab…c8a7backed Yes	2c	12,555$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.32	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	12,415$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.34	678	5.9%40 W · 638 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b59…58e6backed Yes	0c	11,333$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	100	1%1 W · 99 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-96.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	1c	10,620$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.82	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…d8e6backed Yes	0c	10,305$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	62	0%0 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	9,330$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.17	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes	3c	9,304$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes	1c	9,202$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	13.4%19 W · 123 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes	2c	9,000$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes	1c	8,665$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.17	399	8.5%34 W · 365 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8735…46e5backed Yes	4c	8,390$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.49	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes	2c	8,235$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.68	142	2.1%3 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…46d1backed Yes	2c	7,536$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes	1c	7,360$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.38	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224c…ee07backed Yes	0c	7,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+4.4wins	+0.15per pick	5cpaid	+142.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc750…57acbacked Yes	2c	5,506$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c8e…4e45backed Yes	2c	5,453$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134d…1da2backed Yes	2c	5,263$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x687b…f8a7backed Yes	2c	5,240$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.25per pick	8cpaid	+215%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5849…a99ebacked Yes	1c	5,100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x561c…730cbacked Yes	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	1c	4,899$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.42	268	3.4%9 W · 259 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes	1c	4,883$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	258	1.2%3 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-84%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209d…43cebacked Yes	2c	4,802$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc228…b6c5backed Yes	2c	4,762$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa289…b412backed Yes	2c	4,618$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.21	65	75.4%49 W · 16 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	62cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x89dd…ced7backed Yes	2c	4,281$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.22	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ace…dab4backed Yes	1c	4,208$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.67	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0419…a533backed Yes	2c	4,164$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.28	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a9…e334backed Yes	2c	4,103$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05cb…f625backed Yes	3c	4,018$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8368…b02dbacked Yes	0c	3,670$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	2c	3,582$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Yes	1c	3,486$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1b…4eddbacked Yes	2c	3,463$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.04	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes	1c	3,448$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	1c	3,215$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.46	137	3.6%5 W · 132 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…64aebacked Yes	1c	3,100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	0c	3,074$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78c…3469backed Yes	2c	2,986$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	86	1.2%1 W · 85 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e2…b8b5backed Yes	2c	2,946$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes	1c	2,924$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.11	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed Yes	1c	2,850$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d69…9301backed Yes	1c	2,800$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes	1c	2,800$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	179	2.2%4 W · 175 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	2,600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	2,533$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.54	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2543…ce9bbacked Yes	2c	2,526$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.62	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x737a…05e0backed Yes	2c	2,430$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes	1c	2,400$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	167	2.4%4 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes	2c	2,338$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	1c	2,321$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	98	5.1%5 W · 93 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5d…7805backed Yes	2c	2,246$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…2139backed Yes	2c	2,153$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.19	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…239dbacked Yes	3c	2,083$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.64	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5527…5885backed Yes	3c	2,020$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.17	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…3bcbbacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aba…9be5backed Yes	3c	1,958$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85e…1fc8backed Yes	2c	1,943$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-50%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed Yes	2c	1,880$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.59	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…9658backed Yes	2c	1,800$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd667…9a02backed Yes	1c	1,772$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-77.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x887c…e21fbacked Yes	2c	1,695$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f7…aedebacked Yes	2c	1,600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-82.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1767…fd39backed Yes	3c	1,484$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1d…a39fbacked Yes	1c	1,389$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	1c	1,378$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	1,300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	416	3.1%13 W · 403 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833f…9557backed Yes	2c	1,286$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x602f…c3aebacked Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce24…043ebacked Yes	1c	1,245$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b47…d49abacked Yes	2c	1,219$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	2c	1,206$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-93.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bba…6f81backed Yes	2c	1,198$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…81f5backed Yes	2c	1,169$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fce…2566backed Yes	2c	1,125$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x269c…d7debacked Yes	3c	1,120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event