Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b63040ad654500cc30bfde62c864ca1c247621b9bc89cb4416e9f9ee01e7d6e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,295,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,013,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,295,129 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes	3c	180,097$4,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,638.74	234	11.1%26 W · 208 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes	1c	158,121$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.3	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes	6c	107,686$6,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,287.71	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d2…2184backed Yes	1c	81,899$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175.48	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	60,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	7cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…18e5backed Yes	13c	59,301$7,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,961.75	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+298.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3365…626cbacked Yes	0c	55,293$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bf…fcccbacked Yes	3c	47,702$1,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes	2c	42,768$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.14	52	7.7%4 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-74%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	1c	38,649$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.41	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d40…09abbacked Yes	2c	36,042$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76bd…c6fcbacked Yes	10c	30,193$3,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,047.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95d4…c38cbacked Yes	7c	26,855$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879.84	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa479…6a67backed Yes	3c	26,193$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.75	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8f…f082backed Yes	5c	24,700$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1087…013bbacked Yes	7c	24,654$1,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,655.32	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cf…ec79backed Yes	12c	24,540$2,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,934.75	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d35…23c1backed Yes	3c	23,672$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.59	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+46%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes	7c	23,229$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.52	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	21,579$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	149	0.7%1 W · 148 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes	13c	21,555$2,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,764	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes	3c	21,217$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.04	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	+5.8wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes	1c	20,416$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.46	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-63%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Yes	1c	20,377$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7152…faacbacked Yes	0c	20,124$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	94	0%0 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	19,870$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.75	678	5.9%40 W · 638 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00da…f42abacked Yes	9c	18,544$1,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,660.88	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes	4c	15,307$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.99	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc80…64aebacked Yes	4c	15,290$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.17	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes	13c	15,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	280	21.1%59 W · 221 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	15,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	229	0%0 W · 229 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes	5c	14,833$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.03	399	8.5%34 W · 365 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes	7c	14,703$1,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,051.23	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes	3c	14,137$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	142	13.4%19 W · 123 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e0…46d1backed Yes	9c	13,662$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,286.52	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b59…58e6backed Yes	1c	13,651$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.01	100	1%1 W · 99 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-96.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes	3c	13,572$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.22	133	3.8%5 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe766…8fa8backed Yes	4c	13,151$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.41	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c49…97febacked Yes	2c	12,684$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	0c	12,154$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	281	13.2%37 W · 244 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-94.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9f…d10fbacked Yes	6c	11,293$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.34	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	8cpaid	+120.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…3772backed Yes	12c	11,156$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.07	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes	0c	10,952$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	475	4.6%22 W · 453 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	2cpaid	+144.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d9…d1c4backed Yes	7c	10,674$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes	4c	10,660$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.11	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fac…4723backed Yes	1c	10,312$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.11	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes	2c	10,301$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.67	179	2.2%4 W · 175 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…ced7backed Yes	8c	10,230$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.1	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	40	0%0 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af1…7b88backed Yes	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	7cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes	7c	9,581$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.87	142	2.1%3 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes	3c	9,554$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.08	258	1.2%3 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-84%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5939…4701backed Yes	2c	9,390$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.58	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	9,300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	416	3.1%13 W · 403 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a0…2a73backed Yes	3c	9,070$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes	2c	8,973$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.09	167	2.4%4 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0923…bd50backed Yes	6c	8,819$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes	3c	8,645$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.96	51	17.6%9 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2543…ce9bbacked Yes	1c	8,076$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.81	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes	4c	7,770$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.2	268	3.4%9 W · 259 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…62a4backed Yes	9c	7,547$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.57	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	2c	7,441$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.21	137	3.6%5 W · 132 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fd…4959backed Yes	7c	7,166$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.52	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafbb…9213backed Yes	3c	7,165$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.29	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Yes	6c	7,050$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.5	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cad…e7ebbacked Yes	8c	6,227$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Yes	7c	6,034$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.41	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…4159backed Yes	5c	6,014$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes	9c	6,007$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.05	140	19.3%27 W · 113 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes	2c	5,940$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc4…6b81backed Yes	3c	5,810$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.86	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60a…c9bdbacked Yes	1c	5,794$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.97	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes	15c	5,550$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.85	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718e…3ef9backed Yes	7c	5,530$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x784d…d27dbacked Yes	12c	5,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec68…a36fbacked Yes	13c	5,235$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.53	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x285e…f38cbacked Yes	1c	5,115$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	5,109$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.17	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c8…39c4backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…e25ebacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Yes	10c	4,988$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e6…3c2bbacked Yes	10c	4,840$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…d300backed Yes	11c	4,831$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.15	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5759…2d3fbacked Yes	7c	4,730$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.07	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	4,684$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.58	98	5.1%5 W · 93 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…239dbacked Yes	11c	4,627$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes	8c	4,615$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.07	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes	11c	4,400$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484	102	2%2 W · 100 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-91.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9d7…070fbacked Yes	5c	4,211$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…fa8ebacked Yes	2c	4,157$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7778…2a76backed Yes	5c	4,103$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.76	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec9…1018backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes	9c	4,000$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	73	27.4%20 W · 53 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes	4c	3,987$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.2	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	4cpaid	+599.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	5c	3,936$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.92	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event