Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36912c9832f0fd104d734b579fb9b3a1b31bbdc946a67356723407e3bdc96dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,122,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,890,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,122,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 8,420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 54c | 575,173$313,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261,961.25 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…389dbacked Yes | 50c | 274,677$136,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,380.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…c81bbacked No | 0c | 200,216$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…9270backed No | 18c | 162,995$28,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,812.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…d3f5backed No | 24c | 140,529$33,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,048.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 66c | 105,356$69,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,103.5 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 69c | 82,200$56,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,390.73 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…223cbacked No | 0c | 82,170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 60c | 67,836$40,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,413 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 41c | 54,740$22,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,543.83 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 67c | 52,607$35,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,102.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…3569backed Yes | 34c | 51,087$17,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,841.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5655…852fbacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…a97dbacked No | 0c | 48,515$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 59c | 44,565$26,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,408.19 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…55b2backed No | 0c | 44,373$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 40c | 43,269$17,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,953.59 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 73c | 40,747$29,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,761.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…a59cbacked No | 22c | 40,705$8,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,991.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 56c | 38,002$21,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,273.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed No | 47c | 36,931$17,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,316.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…70f1backed No | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…6749backed Yes | 44c | 34,459$15,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,181.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 67c | 34,120$22,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,745.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…187cbacked No | 70c | 32,594$22,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,699.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…f10bbacked No | 70c | 31,512$22,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,144.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked No | 22c | 30,508$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 22c | 30,005$6,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,467.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 48c | 29,766$14,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,423.88 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…c374backed Yes | 71c | 29,373$20,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,581.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 39c | 29,184$11,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,518.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed Yes | 23c | 27,953$6,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,485.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 72c | 27,899$20,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 48c | 27,163$13,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,023.21 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…0867backed Yes | 67c | 25,950$17,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…cdcbbacked Yes | 37c | 25,532$9,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,182.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 42c | 23,545$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,546.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7073…35ffbacked No | 16c | 22,425$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 38c | 21,707$8,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,259.43 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…187dbacked Yes | 37c | 21,686$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,685.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed No | 71c | 21,545$15,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,220.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 41c | 21,371$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,591.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 25c | 20,000$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…2824backed No | 64c | 19,098$12,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,233.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked Yes | 46c | 18,959$8,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,179.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…94dfbacked No | 55c | 18,920$10,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,445.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 41c | 18,145$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,685.29 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 40c | 18,141$7,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,945.88 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…69b8backed Yes | 40c | 16,836$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,055.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 64c | 16,724$10,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,684.83 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 28c | 16,497$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.38 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 41c | 16,484$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,763.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 31c | 16,405$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.66 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…8545backed No | 25c | 16,197$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…93fbbacked Yes | 51c | 16,124$8,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,954.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 50c | 16,036$8,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,052.58 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed No | 78c | 15,746$12,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,288.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 69c | 15,626$10,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,714.47 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked No | 70c | 15,000$10,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,487.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…9c01backed Yes | 23c | 13,801$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 20c | 13,014$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.17 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 80c | 12,500$9,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.51 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…7944backed No | 1c | 12,275$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 50c | 12,223$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,122.83 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 39c | 12,084$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.63 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 63c | 11,863$7,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked No | 52c | 11,365$5,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…f97abacked Yes | 71c | 11,200$7,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…79c7backed No | 60c | 10,999$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,569.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 41c | 10,745$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 46c | 10,443$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.19 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…dafbbacked No | 0c | 10,014$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…6a60backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…b021backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cc…9a45backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed No | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…efacbacked No | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…0a28backed No | 7c | 9,883$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 52c | 9,880$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.69 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 26c | 9,715$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,180.3 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe580…a13fbacked Yes | 38c | 9,445$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…589cbacked Yes | 42c | 9,330$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 51c | 9,208$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.84 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…215bbacked Yes | 38c | 9,108$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…327cbacked Yes | 53c | 9,077$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…77a6backed No | 0c | 9,043$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed No | 0c | 9,002$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 45c | 9,000$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.42 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 30c | 8,981$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 50c | 8,915$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4be…1300backed Yes | 41c | 8,210$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…4941backed Yes | 27c | 8,057$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,921.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…b265backed Yes | 59c | 7,976$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 68c | 7,930$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 50c | 7,793$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 31c | 7,744$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Yes | 69c | 7,671$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…43c1backed No | 27c | 7,500$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed No | 47c | 7,467$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.53 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 57c | 7,043$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.