Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4290a4aa43a0707f0f1193c73667074f2ef5ce8ab5d6fcdd4ca645bfe1528f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,334,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,566,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,334,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 16c | 662,171$103,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,351.15 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…09abbacked Yes | 8c | 108,130$8,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.01 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 73c | 106,259$77,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,556.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee23…cacabacked Yes | 3c | 103,494$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 12c | 95,908$11,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,837.85 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…215bbacked Yes | 34c | 95,373$32,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,088 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 16c | 83,012$13,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,673.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 32c | 79,093$24,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,915.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 77c | 73,094$56,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,026.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked Yes | 8c | 67,630$5,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 9c | 66,775$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764.45 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 8c | 65,073$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 18c | 64,637$11,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,449.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 11c | 60,967$6,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.44 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 23c | 60,273$13,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,639.39 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d0b1backed Yes | 21c | 57,742$12,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,326.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…d769backed No | 75c | 53,272$39,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,488.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 70c | 52,331$36,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,699.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed Yes | 6c | 51,479$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked Yes | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 12c | 42,189$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 10c | 41,924$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.48 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5947backed No | 75c | 38,942$29,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,852.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 48c | 38,467$18,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,626.31 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed Yes | 39c | 37,761$14,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,797.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…1454backed No | 51c | 37,469$19,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,316.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 1c | 36,279$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed Yes | 10c | 36,102$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.87 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 52c | 35,953$18,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,128.32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…0c17backed Yes | 35c | 35,347$12,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,425.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 74c | 33,333$24,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 31,376$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.04 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 75c | 26,731$20,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,643.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee6…5a96backed Yes | 35c | 26,484$9,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,169.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 25,938$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.26 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…0eb9backed Yes | 14c | 25,533$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 13c | 23,918$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 15c | 22,878$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.34 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…c309backed Yes | 17c | 22,540$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,645$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 8c | 20,956$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.61 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Yes | 2c | 19,622$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 2c | 19,525$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.17 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…3144backed Yes | 4c | 19,456$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 78c | 19,324$15,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…e5fabacked Yes | 5c | 18,976$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 8c | 18,807$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.09 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 18,376$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 11c | 17,870$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.41 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 5c | 17,093$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.28 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 20c | 16,959$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 44c | 16,869$7,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,373.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…fc39backed Yes | 1c | 16,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…7c76backed Yes | 32c | 16,056$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 52c | 15,957$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360.26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 15,487$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 10c | 15,435$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 18c | 14,508$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.8 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…bc82backed Yes | 24c | 14,458$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 10c | 14,158$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…f42dbacked Yes | 14c | 14,094$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 13,888$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 73c | 13,700$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…2dd9backed Yes | 4c | 13,396$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Yes | 6c | 13,205$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…92fbbacked Yes | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 19c | 12,500$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 12,459$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.93 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 3c | 12,263$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.51 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 24c | 11,800$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.41 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…b366backed Yes | 10c | 11,776$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 4c | 11,635$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.87 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked Yes | 35c | 11,567$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…8494backed Yes | 22c | 11,559$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 11,488$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.06 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…8916backed Yes | 28c | 11,392$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 25c | 11,383$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 70c | 11,000$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…6749backed Yes | 14c | 10,794$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 10,562$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.93 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…64aebacked Yes | 15c | 10,500$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.18 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 8c | 10,450$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.49 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 11c | 10,400$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.93 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 10,223$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.79 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 72c | 10,134$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…bc76backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…775abacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…211cbacked Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…033fbacked Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed No | 51c | 9,999$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 4c | 9,982$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.13 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…02babacked Yes | 0c | 9,893$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 9,786$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…cdcbbacked Yes | 24c | 9,776$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.