TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8035…f36d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT6836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.56
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tommy Paul vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.32
Sao Leopoldo: Gustavo Heide vs Hugo Dellienbacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.12
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+287.2%+$154.91
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.09
Sao Leopoldo: Murkel Dellien vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Sao Leopoldo: Lautaro Midon vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+76%+$23.59
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Asschebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$44.41
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.92
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.72
Menorca: Jonas Forejtek vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.1
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$40.51
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$15.12
San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Keninbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$8.3
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.15
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.09
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Will Solana reach $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$35.89
Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$34.78
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$101.67
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$403.77
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.42
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$58.88
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.06
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.8
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$2,613.81
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+210.6%+$199.9
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$41.12
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$26.28
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.21
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$26.66
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.22
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.69
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.02
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.89
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.98
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Stewart Nicoll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Lando Vannata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.78
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Gatto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Azamat Bekoev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.13
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dakota Hope · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+134.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-77%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.39
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.29
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.91
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$38.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$9.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$10.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.