UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aeb8b4af011a3b72b0f651dd08e00e530a43c490de88133ba3788e48921c17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kai Kamaka IIIof Kai Kamaka III, Dakota Hope
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Dakota Hope | 41c | 19,000$7,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.99 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Kai Kamaka III | 59c | 16,945$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,947.83 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Dakota Hope | 51c | 14,090$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.96 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Kai Kamaka III | 62c | 12,212$7,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.86 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 10,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 10,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 10,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Dakota Hope | 1c | 10,800$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 5cpaid | +515.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Dakota Hope | 44c | 7,511$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.6 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Dakota Hope | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Dakota Hope | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Kai Kamaka III | 54c | 6,991$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.7 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 5,703$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Dakota Hope | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kai Kamaka III | 49c | 4,743$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.94 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Dakota Hope | 1c | 4,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Dakota Hope | 3c | 3,800$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Dakota Hope | 1c | 3,700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Dakota Hope | 52c | 2,800$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.87 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +238.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Dakota Hope | 38c | 2,470$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.62 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dakota Hope | 59c | 2,360$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.72 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Dakota Hope | 39c | 2,316$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.6 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Kai Kamaka III | 57c | 1,970$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Kai Kamaka III | 56c | 1,811$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kai Kamaka III | 39c | 1,765$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.31 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Kai Kamaka III | 47c | 1,545$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kai Kamaka III | 45c | 1,467$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.12 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Kai Kamaka III | 43c | 1,359$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.6 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Dakota Hope | 41c | 1,232$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kai Kamaka III | 58c | 1,199$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.1 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kai Kamaka III | 45c | 1,139$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.71 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kai Kamaka III | 43c | 1,077$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.66 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Dakota Hope | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Dakota Hope | 49c | 999.03$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.43 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Kai Kamaka III | 72c | 997.07$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kai Kamaka III | 50c | 988.65$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.58 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kai Kamaka III | 60c | 975.46$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.85 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dakota Hope | 39c | 965.26$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Dakota Hope | 51c | 959.86$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.16 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Dakota Hope | 1c | 950$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Kai Kamaka III | 37c | 925.08$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.1 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kai Kamaka III | 48c | 912.56$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Kai Kamaka III | 45c | 903.48$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Dakota Hope | 43c | 898.42$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kai Kamaka III | 65c | 839.71$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kai Kamaka III | 61c | 811$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Dakota Hope | 39c | 784.68$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kai Kamaka III | 44c | 749.1$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.98 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Dakota Hope | 40c | 729.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kai Kamaka III | 52c | 706.13$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…2287backed Dakota Hope | 41c | 703.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Kai Kamaka III | 63c | 691.66$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Kai Kamaka III | 46c | 620.53$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.08 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Kai Kamaka III | 58c | 609.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Dakota Hope | 43c | 569.69$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kai Kamaka III | 49c | 551.44$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Dakota Hope | 43c | 524.65$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…d978backed Dakota Hope | 58c | 503.93$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Kai Kamaka III | 60c | 488.14$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Kai Kamaka III | 42c | 475.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kai Kamaka III | 48c | 463.58$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Dakota Hope | 39c | 397.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kai Kamaka III | 50c | 397.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Dakota Hope | 42c | 389.56$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Dakota Hope | 41c | 387.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Dakota Hope | 69c | 376.46$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Kai Kamaka III | 51c | 375.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…6ab2backed Dakota Hope | 42c | 347.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Kai Kamaka III | 59c | 337.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Dakota Hope | 13c | 333$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Dakota Hope | 14c | 333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Kai Kamaka III | 58c | 327.11$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Dakota Hope | 42c | 325.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…b7d3backed Dakota Hope | 42c | 323.41$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Dakota Hope | 42c | 319.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kai Kamaka III | 40c | 317.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…0f85backed Kai Kamaka III | 61c | 299.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kai Kamaka III | 57c | 292.17$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Dakota Hope | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Dakota Hope | 43c | 274.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kai Kamaka III | 47c | 272.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Dakota Hope | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Kai Kamaka III | 57c | 238.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kai Kamaka III | 64c | 237.11$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Dakota Hope | 10c | 231.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…11acbacked Dakota Hope | 34c | 223.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Dakota Hope | 14c | 216.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…bda1backed Kai Kamaka III | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Kai Kamaka III | 58c | 199.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…301ebacked Kai Kamaka III | 54c | 194.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…a2bfbacked Dakota Hope | 42c | 194.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Dakota Hope | 38c | 192.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Dakota Hope | 22c | 183.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…b930backed Dakota Hope | 50c | 179.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Dakota Hope | 43c | 172.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Kai Kamaka III | 51c | 168.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Kai Kamaka III | 47c | 168.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.