NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a7d672350a0bcb5241258cf58f6853144b2ebaae0b2152d82a5dcf661bb0694

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Lakers, Cavaliers
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $528,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $680,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,478 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers	51c	95,215$48,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,685.75	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers	51c	87,421$44,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,175.49	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Lakers	49c	39,177$19,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,833.68	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers	51c	35,243$17,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,936.75	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers	49c	22,599$11,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,531.05	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Lakers	49c	17,161$8,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,752.17	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Lakers	49c	16,974$8,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,673.59	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	51c	16,642$8,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,547.14	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers	49c	11,999$5,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,119.5	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers	51c	11,610$5,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,906.09	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers	52c	10,559$5,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,446.06	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	43c	9,123$3,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,953.1	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers	49c	8,309$4,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,237.73	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Lakers	48c	8,288$3,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,309.76	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers	52c	8,191$4,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,254.78	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers	51c	6,940$3,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,539.29	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Cavaliers	52c	6,200$3,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,223.99	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x307d…4c75backed Lakers	49c	5,547$2,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,829.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers	47c	5,387$2,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,855.36	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	50c	5,273$2,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,636.3	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8e18…bddfbacked Lakers	49c	5,144$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,623.32	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers	52c	5,096$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,649.98	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	36c	5,071$1,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,833.09	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Cavaliers	53c	4,992$2,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,645.7	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	50c	4,192$2,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,083.29	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Lakers	49c	4,047$1,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063.94	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers	51c	3,997$2,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,038.26	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Lakers	48c	3,986$1,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,072.95	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers	48c	3,980$1,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,069.83	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Cavaliers	51c	3,979$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,029.52	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	61c	3,968$2,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,431.43	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers	48c	3,769$1,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,959.99	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Lakers	48c	3,578$1,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860.6	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Lakers	48c	3,530$1,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,835.49	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers	52c	3,334$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.68	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers	52c	2,988$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.96	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Cavaliers	62c	2,572$1,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.62	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers	42c	2,549$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.86	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers	52c	2,493$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,295.89	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Cavaliers	50c	2,444$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.2	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Cavaliers	51c	2,262$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.86	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Lakers	47c	2,060$968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,091.8	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	50c	2,057$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.47	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Lakers	49c	1,978$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.97	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Cavaliers	53c	1,866$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.9	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Cavaliers	53c	1,834$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.8	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Lakers	48c	1,815$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Cavaliers	51c	1,758$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.83	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,681$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.08	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Cavaliers	52c	1,544$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.89	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Lakers	49c	1,422$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725.45	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.9wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked Lakers	50c	1,406$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.81	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Lakers	48c	1,363$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.83	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Lakers	49c	1,347$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.11	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers	51c	1,332$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.42	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Lakers	49c	1,318$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.13	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Cavaliers	54c	1,307$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.96	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers	48c	1,167$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.16	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Lakers	50c	1,164$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,154$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.54	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Cavaliers	52c	1,143$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.41	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers	43c	1,010$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.89	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e1…a9cfbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Lakers	50c	988.15$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.57	267	45.3%121 W · 146 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	52c	986.14$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.79	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Cavaliers	52c	985.28$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.82	207	41.1%85 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Lakers	50c	973.88$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.94	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Lakers	50c	960.78$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.63	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Lakers	49c	955.35$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.23	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Cavaliers	51c	951.57$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.3	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Cavaliers	52c	791.64$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.65	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Lakers	48c	762.94$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.73	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers	47c	751.42$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.17	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cavaliers	53c	736.17$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.17	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Cavaliers	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Lakers	49c	699.91$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.95	240	44.6%107 W · 133 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Lakers	47c	618$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.54	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Lakers	49c	608.78$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.48	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Cavaliers	52c	605.64$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.93	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Lakers	49c	603.94$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.01	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Lakers	50c	601.4$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.7	124	34.7%43 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Lakers	49c	599.97$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.98	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Cavaliers	20c	586.67$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.54	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers	51c	575.45$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.02	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Cavaliers	53c	553.93$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.58	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d027backed Lakers	79c	549.32$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Cavaliers	55c	499.99$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Cavaliers	50c	499.7$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.85	249	49%122 W · 127 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Cavaliers	40c	474$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.6	139	35.3%49 W · 90 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Lakers	49c	428.87$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.72	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Cavaliers	13c	423.91$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.08	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Lakers	48c	404$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.08	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers	48c	403.98$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.07	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Cavaliers	52c	395$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.4	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Lakers	49c	391.84$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.9	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Cavaliers	51c	379.44$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.86	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Cavaliers vs. LakersLakers won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event