NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b10561d2e4518d9e06227cabc5c6742fc913faa7f8759ced143e470954362a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Lakers | 68c | 41,153$28,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,132.14 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 47c | 16,544$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,775.66 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 53c | 11,896$6,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.56 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 63c | 9,570$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Lakers | 53c | 6,104$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.53 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Lakers | 53c | 5,364$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.01 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 56c | 4,646$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,534$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.76 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 19c | 3,780$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.24 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Lakers | 52c | 3,778$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.68 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Lakers | 53c | 3,703$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,619$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 53c | 3,247$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.17 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 28c | 2,696$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.21 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,186$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.27 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,136$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.56 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,050$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.7 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 42c | 1,977$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.7 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,928$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.54 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,870$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Lakers | 53c | 1,782$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.67 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,726$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.18 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,554$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.56 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Cavaliers | 14c | 1,420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,368$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.49 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers | 36c | 1,352$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,333$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,300$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,053$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.02 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Lakers | 52c | 999.66$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.73 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 52c | 849.01$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Lakers | 53c | 715.12$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.89 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 615.34$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Lakers | 51c | 603.23$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.58 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 589.41$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.41 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Lakers | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Cavaliers | 40c | 518.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers | 48c | 504.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Lakers | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Lakers | 78c | 459.15$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Lakers | 54c | 391.25$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 52c | 377.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 43c | 367.43$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 52c | 363.44$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Lakers | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Lakers | 55c | 354.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c8…44f7backed Lakers | 61c | 317.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 304.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Cavaliers | 25c | 302.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Cavaliers | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 52c | 232.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Lakers | 52c | 223.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Cavaliers | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Lakers | 52c | 217.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 211.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Lakers | 48c | 200.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Lakers | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…f1b3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 193.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Lakers | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Cavaliers | 40c | 161.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Lakers | 64c | 160.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 155.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Lakers | 50c | 154.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 137.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Lakers | 53c | 136.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lakers | 49c | 129.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Lakers | 50c | 126.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 48c | 119.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…37e6backed Lakers | 65c | 115.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 107.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 98.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Lakers | 53c | 91.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 83.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…ffc4backed Lakers | 52c | 74.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…964fbacked Lakers | 50c | 72.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Lakers | 54c | 71.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Lakers | 48c | 71.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 48c | 63.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Lakers | 52c | 60.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cavaliers | 47c | 60.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 59.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Cavaliers | 48c | 57.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 57.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Lakers | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Lakers | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Lakers | 53c | 55.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Lakers | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Lakers | 53c | 53.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Cavaliers vs. LakersLakers won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.