TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2a4…ffc4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.46
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.92
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$8.81
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$15.44
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.11
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.98
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$33.85
Spread: Pelicans (-10.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+111%+$24.37
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$23.88
Spread: Nets (-3.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Spread: Heat (-17.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31.76
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$17.34
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$36.04
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Conor Gannonbacked Conor Gannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Harriet Dartbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$6.25
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Luca Pow vs Ozan Barisbacked Luca Pow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Max Sheldon vs Naoki Nakagawabacked Max Sheldon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$4.82
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Oeiras 3: Robin Montgomery vs Mayar Sherifbacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$6.09
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Oeiras 3: Sinja Kraus vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$7.63
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$12.77
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$15.23
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Chloe Paquetbacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$45.33
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikoribacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$6.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$6.91
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samsonbacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+209.7%+$34.59
Madrid: Yue Yuan vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.45
Madrid: Elvina Kalieva vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.89
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.97
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-60.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+197.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+114.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$8.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+165.6%+$19.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$20.12
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$13.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$8.66
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.