Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33866baa564716e4bfcf33c254d98526f88d669c9a4c4d9ce03e13fa73d52b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 11,009$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.74 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 5,900$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.99 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 5,254$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,068$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.56 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 57c | 525.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 58c | 259.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 57c | 247.89$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 230$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 190.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 30c | 166.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 45c | 80.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 57c | 58.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed No | 61c | 47.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 56c | 44.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 56c | 28.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…ffc4backed No | 62c | 22.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 60c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…8006backed No | 63c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…ae27backed No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.