CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d2d0fd7e1779e08024c2cc0b87615169136aead6b32aeea38d241f1be7bc99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 59c | 1,976$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.97 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Over | 78c | 1,272$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.93 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Over | 79c | 1,243$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.93 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 40c | 1,198$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 59c | 944.25$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 713.92$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…3e40backed Under | 72c | 601.56$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Under | 61c | 514.34$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.75 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Over | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…c8fbbacked Over | 78c | 466.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 35c | 379.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…f793backed Over | 79c | 300.56$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 50c | 299.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 56c | 198.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Over | 37c | 195.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 21c | 185.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Over | 52c | 184.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Over | 56c | 178.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Under | 63c | 168.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Under | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Over | 55c | 137.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 133.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 77c | 109.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…b8ccbacked Under | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Under | 67c | 102.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Over | 56c | 99.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 91.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Under | 30c | 78.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Under | 64c | 75.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 65c | 73.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…07e8backed Under | 57c | 73.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…0e4cbacked Under | 44c | 65.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 51c | 60.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 60.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 61c | 54.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…ffc4backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +197.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked Over | 24c | 51.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 56c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Under | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 32c | 47.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Under | 30c | 44.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…22e6backed Over | 75c | 43.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…21c4backed Over | 37c | 41.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 41c | 41.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…8cf3backed Over | 76c | 38.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Over | 34c | 38.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 29c | 36.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 54c | 33.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 60c | 31.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 68c | 30.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Under | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 49c | 29.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…aeb8backed Under | 47c | 25.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 64c | 21.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Under | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 60c | 17.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…ba0bbacked Under | 63c | 16.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.6wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)EYEBALLERS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.