TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EYEBALLERSof Astralis, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37f1…19a0backed Astralis0c28,202$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.24555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed EYEBALLERS41c25,000$10,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,749.9833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis59c20,224$11,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,932.2583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed EYEBALLERS43c19,728$8,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,244.7522049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Astralis56c12,778$7,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,155.739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed EYEBALLERS44c8,650$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,843.7923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked EYEBALLERS43c8,179$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.3984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed EYEBALLERS43c8,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis57c7,871$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.4733452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7150…0a2bbacked EYEBALLERS43c5,500$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.97825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Astralis57c5,212$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.8238358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Astralis3c4,994$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.22,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Astralis57c4,968$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83231345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Astralis56c4,900$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.9414954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed EYEBALLERS45c3,760$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.391,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked EYEBALLERS44c3,576$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.3814144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Astralis58c3,572$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.7627740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Astralis54c2,943$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.1716546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Astralis54c2,317$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6931642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Astralis57c1,996$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.8736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked EYEBALLERS47c1,822$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.663,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Astralis57c1,709$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed Astralis57c1,709$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis57c1,261$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Astralis57c1,195$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.9713238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed EYEBALLERS44c1,117$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.2960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed EYEBALLERS44c1,098$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.982965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Astralis57c1,025$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5237445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis57c974.2$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed Astralis57c876.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.769656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Astralis58c874.89$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.448752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Astralis44c787.1$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6517840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked EYEBALLERS69c544.34$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.532,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Astralis59c526.29$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2533960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Astralis57c512.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2614044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed Astralis57c512.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.269256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Astralis57c512.74$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.267350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis57c487.1$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.651,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Astralis57c487.1$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6528657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Astralis57c475.14$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8315249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Astralis53c447.03$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9234943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Astralis57c425.95$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7931654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8b…9084backed EYEBALLERS40c385.67$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Astralis57c381.6$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5130527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked EYEBALLERS50c381.17$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2df…e521backed EYEBALLERS54c361.19$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed EYEBALLERS43c361.12$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2116047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis57c350.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9154732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed EYEBALLERS43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Astralis57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis60c339.04$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Astralis57c336.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.925358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Astralis61c316.99$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.376246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Astralis54c260$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.632042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Astralis57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1314856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Astralis59c249.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4910455.8%58 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Astralis58c233.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3938157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Astralis59c231.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5617853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Astralis51c222.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6624249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked EYEBALLERS44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12314843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Astralis44c217.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.668330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis56c209.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.752,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Astralis61c206.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9815363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed EYEBALLERS41c205.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1210133.7%34 W · 67 L-14.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Astralis47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9911148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a1…3e40backed EYEBALLERS59c198.01$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.22755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Astralis59c196.58$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.985160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Astralis57c194.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.067354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Astralis57c189.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1429052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Astralis59c184.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.771,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Astralis57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4221460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Astralis57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4212557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…010cbacked EYEBALLERS44c169.08$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.69850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked EYEBALLERS41c168.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.295648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Astralis32c152.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9210729.9%32 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Astralis44c144.93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2418342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed EYEBALLERS44c142.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.893348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Astralis59c129.7$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9285851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked EYEBALLERS44c125.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1127848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Astralis24c124.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.592,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Astralis41c110.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Astralis61c101.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5332561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed Astralis30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Astralis57c99.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.528541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Astralis57c99.13$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.553850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d4…3ad4backed Astralis64c97.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.341656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Astralis57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5381246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed EYEBALLERS44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1268753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Astralis39c95.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5818239%71 W · 111 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed Astralis57c90.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.638359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Astralis59c88.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6816766.5%111 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked EYEBALLERS59c86.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3747260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Astralis57c86.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Astralis49c86.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5647146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Astralis57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7129052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e8…3294backed Astralis59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.774153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Astralis62c78.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8622444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd44…be3ebacked Astralis57c75.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3a…610abacked Astralis59c74.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Astralis25c73.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.652,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.