TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe803…010c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Madrid: Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigatobacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$11.49
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Nerman Faticbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.04
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+41%+$6.04
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$44.73
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.74
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Selena Janicijevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.95
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.45
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.05
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.61
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.67
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.01
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.3
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$313.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$9.47
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$6.61
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$94.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$22.15
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$30.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$23.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$5.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.