TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over50c82,004$40,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,041.7739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under50c33,003$16,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,501.4322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under50c4,511$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.254854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f62…570cbacked Under50c1,507$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…064ebacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c1,313$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.043,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Over44c828.94$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.636040%24 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under50c795.4$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.712426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed Over49c598.91$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.453966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over37c542.19$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.962,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Over50c401.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over49c388.37$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.076060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c374.46$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.173,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over53c368.97$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6519351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec6…843ebacked Under51c315.45$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…b58dbacked Over50c305.55$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under49c294.12$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1214454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Under51c290.41$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.112458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8814856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Over47c256.55$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.977354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307100%7 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+184.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Over49c213.27$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7716546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Over24c200.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.38330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over49c190.53$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.177857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under52c160.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.546347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over48c157.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.220251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6121351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6117756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.612564%16 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.618552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.611662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.614252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6111546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.614450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.613158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6124544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.614852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.616168.9%42 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6112352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6110254.9%56 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.612152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over49c148.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.615466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over49c140.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.893847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over49c140.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.897757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over49c140.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.899058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Over49c140.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over49c140.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.896854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over49c140.89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.857653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under47c128.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Under22c115.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2736446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…4ef3backed Over52c108.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under52c103.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8418426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6925251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2f…2ae1backed Under77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.456058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.459758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.452576%19 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.457252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.513553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82b6…57bebacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.632015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over50c91.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.721,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f0…b7b1backed Under53c81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.562441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Over50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.88951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…99dabacked Under55c75.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.211850%9 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc318…e006backed Over43c72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d1…936fbacked Under27c71.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over49c69.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.315459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9986…6d93backed Under51c66.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under51c61.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.363458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Over48c58.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.236960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over39c52.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.414050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…1919backed Over56c52.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.181625%4 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.226060%36 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.223357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…b8ccbacked Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.221942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over49c49.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1726443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7281246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Under52c46.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.243333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x962a…e2cdbacked Under77c46.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.697565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…010cbacked Over50c43.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under48c41.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.061,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Under51c40.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Over51c40.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.973450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c43…1608backed Over50c38.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.421464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.420145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854e…5da3backed Under51c37.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…6882backed Under52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over48c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2447260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x030e…091abacked Under29c35.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.171952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked Under56c34.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59eb…ae8cbacked Under39c34.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.393745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under49c33.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under51c33.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.011662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Over41c32.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.373036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1293…32b5backed Over50c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.