CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf51d8a0070dfc4306b3d00f3e449a9c506ca8588a69aab354fee68bba53634d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof 3DMAX, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked MIBR | 68c | 16,351$11,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.4 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed 3DMAX | 32c | 13,682$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.25 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 3DMAX | 32c | 5,586$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.08 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked MIBR | 68c | 4,959$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.31 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked 3DMAX | 38c | 1,664$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.67 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed 3DMAX | 33c | 1,650$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MIBR | 62c | 1,587$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.15 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed MIBR | 67c | 1,578$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.75 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 33c | 1,578$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.78 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed 3DMAX | 32c | 573.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed MIBR | 69c | 490.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed MIBR | 69c | 294.42$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed MIBR | 70c | 286.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR | 66c | 271.43$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed MIBR | 65c | 192.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed 3DMAX | 38c | 161.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX | 30c | 140.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed MIBR | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed 3DMAX | 30c | 128.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed MIBR | 70c | 126.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed 3DMAX | 30c | 86.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MIBR | 65c | 82.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed MIBR | 69c | 76.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed MIBR | 67c | 58.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed MIBR | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed 3DMAX | 31c | 41.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed 3DMAX | 34c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked MIBR | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d2d9backed MIBR | 71c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed MIBR | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed MIBR | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.