TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof MIBR, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$448,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$479,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked 3DMAX51c104,851$53,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,389.4842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 3DMAX50c89,985$44,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,017.9721351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed MIBR49c69,589$34,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,098.7122049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed 3DMAX51c23,217$11,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,376.2123852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 3DMAX51c19,412$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,511.8876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed MIBR50c13,772$6,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,885.994252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed MIBR50c13,748$6,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,874.018552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed MIBR49c12,498$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1244136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked 3DMAX16c12,137$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,240.9422927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR50c11,087$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,498.7675450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed MIBR49c10,632$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.8333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed 3DMAX50c9,618$4,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.8551252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed MIBR50c9,485$4,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,743.3924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked MIBR49c9,352$4,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.3732552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked MIBR79c7,943$6,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,279.4821655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed MIBR50c6,688$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.578032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 3DMAX51c5,824$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.5628538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 3DMAX22c5,237$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.8530726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed MIBR50c4,849$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.0146949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MIBR49c4,847$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.0345058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX57c4,821$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.472,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked MIBR50c4,801$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.2912352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR55c4,379$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.467,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed MIBR49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9816152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MIBR49c3,938$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.5523243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX43c3,557$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.393,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MIBR49c3,370$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.4697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX52c3,149$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.7898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MIBR63c3,011$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.091,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked MIBR50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45516447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR45c2,884$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.291,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX18c2,817$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.782,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR38c2,529$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.281,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR46c2,446$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.2488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR49c2,305$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.395,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed MIBR50c2,251$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.595466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed 3DMAX51c2,232$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.874955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked MIBR67c2,080$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.8433457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed MIBR49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed MIBR49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98015648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX51c1,970$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.3778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR33c1,936$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.41,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX55c1,934$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.665,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1181…9e90backed 3DMAX28c1,911$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+97.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed MIBR59c1,648$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.1124346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed MIBR72c1,623$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.6260838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad1…7653backed MIBR49c1,542$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.422347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed MIBR49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73524935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR43c1,390$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.862,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed MIBR49c1,367$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.869656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked MIBR50c1,359$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6316248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed MIBR50c1,253$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.417757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MIBR50c1,235$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.4144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed MIBR50c1,155$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.1537445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed MIBR50c1,147$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.2724944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked MIBR57c1,088$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.551735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked MIBR50c1,050$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MIBR51c1,034$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.3249646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed MIBR49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX50c1,014$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.016,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked MIBR49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49011452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed 3DMAX50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed 3DMAX23c994.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed MIBR50c979.87$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.976235.5%22 W · 40 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed MIBR49c952.28$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.013743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked MIBR44c899.75$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed MIBR50c833.57$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7811546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked MIBR50c796.56$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.283158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed MIBR50c787.81$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9146749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed4d…6a0bbacked MIBR50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3882152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked MIBR50c753.59$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.59058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX31c752.32$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.011,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed 3DMAX11c750.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.7318426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d3…97cabacked MIBR74c738.27$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed 3DMAX50c717.99$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0913238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked MIBR68c700.9$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0735449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR4c699.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.743,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked 3DMAX37c652.1$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4137441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked 3DMAX20c618.68$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8925846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MIBR55c614.44$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9233553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked 3DMAX2c612.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.7924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked 3DMAX37c608.54$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5719642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7e…366ebacked MIBR50c585.16$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.941850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed MIBR50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX48c572.22$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.214,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed MIBR50c566.13$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0721947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MIBR50c564.31$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR13c563.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.675,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed MIBR50c504.4$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.234156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2f…2ae1backed MIBR52c499.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.374626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 3DMAX14c489.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3157322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked MIBR50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.529154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed MIBR50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.532042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed MIBR50c480.15$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0822365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked MIBR49c471.62$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.094850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked MIBR50c467.54$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed MIBR50c463.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0428046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed MIBR19c456.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked MIBR50c446.2$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.12245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked MIBR50c445.64$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8231852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.