TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80d3…97ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,274.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$561.04
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,322.08
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,139.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,953.7
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$227.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,229.45
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.3
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$538.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$126.92
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.51
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$519.99
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.04
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$273.26
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$132.28
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$139.16
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.95
DEL: Bremerhaven vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Bremerhaven · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$294.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Li Tu vs Alastair Graybacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$106.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.