Tennis · resolved market
Wuning: Li Tu vs Alastair Gray
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f7e743cec2cfb915232b8e06c714b34302ea64dece68cdfb153e93cb6e0831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Li Tuof Li Tu, Alastair Gray
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Alastair Gray | 50c | 13,822$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.53 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Alastair Gray | 51c | 4,793$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.92 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Li Tu | 50c | 4,632$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.78 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Li Tu | 51c | 4,391$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.66 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Li Tu | 79c | 2,981$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.65 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alastair Gray | 13c | 2,483$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Li Tu | 49c | 2,203$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.53 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Li Tu | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Li Tu | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Li Tu | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Li Tu | 57c | 1,605$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.06 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alastair Gray | 21c | 1,383$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…d555backed Li Tu | 50c | 1,206$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Li Tu | 50c | 1,094$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.9 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Li Tu | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Li Tu | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Li Tu | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Li Tu | 60c | 990.41$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.34 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Alastair Gray | 47c | 918.69$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.49 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alastair Gray | 10c | 902.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Li Tu | 49c | 899.97$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.98 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Alastair Gray | 24c | 868.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.03 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Alastair Gray | 5c | 867.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Li Tu | 49c | 837.11$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.55 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Alastair Gray | 23c | 816.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Alastair Gray | 25c | 722.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Li Tu | 51c | 711.63$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Li Tu | 49c | 600.46$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Li Tu | 51c | 593.67$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Li Tu | 74c | 577.54$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alastair Gray | 11c | 552.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alastair Gray | 34c | 536.78$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alastair Gray | 55c | 530.81$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Li Tu | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Li Tu | 50c | 469.04$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Alastair Gray | 34c | 454.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…97cabacked Li Tu | 76c | 445.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alastair Gray | 16c | 432.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alastair Gray | 46c | 400$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…06e0backed Li Tu | 51c | 347.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Alastair Gray | 51c | 345.52$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Alastair Gray | 51c | 325.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Alastair Gray | 7c | 320.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Li Tu | 51c | 308.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Li Tu | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Li Tu | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Li Tu | 77c | 256.8$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Li Tu | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Li Tu | 50c | 199.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…baf2backed Li Tu | 51c | 191.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Alastair Gray | 50c | 186.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Alastair Gray | 13c | 186.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Alastair Gray | 49c | 178.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Li Tu | 76c | 176.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Alastair Gray | 22c | 170.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Li Tu | 52c | 168.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Li Tu | 49c | 157.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Li Tu | 73c | 135.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -20.8wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Li Tu | 73c | 134.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Li Tu | 76c | 121.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Alastair Gray | 48c | 116.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Li Tu | 75c | 112.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Alastair Gray | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Li Tu | 76c | 109.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Alastair Gray | 47c | 104.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Li Tu | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Li Tu | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…c76abacked Alastair Gray | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Alastair Gray | 52c | 93.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Li Tu | 73c | 93.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…9541backed Li Tu | 53c | 91.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Alastair Gray | 36c | 91.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alastair Gray | 28c | 88.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Li Tu | 48c | 81.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Alastair Gray | 49c | 81.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Li Tu | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 336 | 51.5%173 W · 163 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Li Tu | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Li Tu | 76c | 77.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Li Tu | 50c | 76.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Li Tu | 74c | 70.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Li Tu | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Li Tu | 79c | 62.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Li Tu | 77c | 55.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Li Tu | 73c | 55.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alastair Gray | 38c | 54.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Alastair Gray | 48c | 52.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Alastair Gray | 50c | 49.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Li Tu | 50c | 48.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Alastair Gray | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Li Tu | 80c | 47.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Li Tu | 50c | 44.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Alastair Gray | 31c | 44.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Li Tu | 49c | 42.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Alastair Gray | 50c | 42.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Alastair Gray | 51c | 40.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Alastair Gray | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 59.4%126 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93d…0599backed Alastair Gray | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Li Tu | 55c | 39.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Li Tu | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Li Tu | 50c | 37.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuning: Li Tu vs Alastair Graythis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tu vs GrayTu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.