TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa93d…0599

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Li Tu vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Alex Rybakovbacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellienbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefan Kozlovbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.67
Mexico City: Marc Polmans vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$18.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$18.29
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$8.46
Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Vladyslav Orlovbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.61
Campinas: Murkel Dellien vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Madrid: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.11
Wuning: Blake Ellis vs Justin Boulaisbacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs J.J. Wolfbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$9.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Diallo (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.65
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallobacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.96
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Sao Leopoldo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$12.96
LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+36%+$9.21
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.62
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.79
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$15.79
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$14.47
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.29
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.97
LoL: 7REX vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.56
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
LoL: RMD Gaming vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.1
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.09
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.