Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275fe593d912c211b2c5318e1a2c7482261eae05f73e5e69ae04aa6af9e8e6e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Daniel Rincon, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Daniel Rincon | 34c | 21,742$7,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,461.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Daniel Rincon | 62c | 6,521$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.47 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Rincon | 41c | 5,691$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Toby Samuel | 49c | 4,905$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.53 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Rincon | 27c | 4,030$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Rincon | 38c | 2,305$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toby Samuel | 69c | 2,291$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toby Samuel | 45c | 2,194$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.18 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…d802backed Toby Samuel | 33c | 1,828$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.83 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Toby Samuel | 57c | 1,634$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 1,626$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.36 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 1,546$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.71 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 1,545$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.4 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Toby Samuel | 56c | 1,287$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.03 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 1,250$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.19 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Daniel Rincon | 54c | 1,249$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.05 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Daniel Rincon | 39c | 1,198$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Rincon | 23c | 1,177$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 1,174$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.99 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Rincon | 41c | 1,103$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.01 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Toby Samuel | 64c | 1,102$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.87 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Daniel Rincon | 3c | 1,049$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Daniel Rincon | 45c | 991.94$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.78 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Toby Samuel | 70c | 948.5$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.89 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…04ddbacked Daniel Rincon | 14c | 921.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Toby Samuel | 69c | 895$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Daniel Rincon | 46c | 889.16$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.31 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Toby Samuel | 56c | 888.7$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.29 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Daniel Rincon | 45c | 779.44$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.75 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Toby Samuel | 66c | 754.83$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Daniel Rincon | 46c | 718.4$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Daniel Rincon | 51c | 709.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toby Samuel | 60c | 642.62$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Toby Samuel | 48c | 607.66$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 585.98$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Toby Samuel | 47c | 584.84$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.18 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Toby Samuel | 49c | 563.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.17 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 549.94$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 520.85$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Toby Samuel | 73c | 476.04$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Toby Samuel | 59c | 473.85$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Daniel Rincon | 44c | 449.36$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Daniel Rincon | 44c | 448.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Toby Samuel | 64c | 442.5$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 399.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Toby Samuel | 50c | 399.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Toby Samuel | 55c | 396.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.29 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Daniel Rincon | 43c | 384.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 366.4$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 356.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Toby Samuel | 42c | 355.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toby Samuel | 45c | 344.37$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Toby Samuel | 67c | 311.55$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 310.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Daniel Rincon | 41c | 307.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 307.82$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Toby Samuel | 48c | 304.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Daniel Rincon | 40c | 272.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Daniel Rincon | 43c | 256.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Daniel Rincon | 47c | 236.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Daniel Rincon | 42c | 230.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Daniel Rincon | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Toby Samuel | 63c | 201.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Daniel Rincon | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Toby Samuel | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 306 | 53.3%163 W · 143 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Toby Samuel | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Toby Samuel | 56c | 173.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Daniel Rincon | 44c | 172.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Toby Samuel | 65c | 170.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Toby Samuel | 62c | 169.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 165.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…8863backed Daniel Rincon | 41c | 154.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Daniel Rincon | 43c | 148.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Daniel Rincon | 44c | 137.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Toby Samuel | 53c | 136.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Toby Samuel | 35c | 136.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Toby Samuel | 55c | 136.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Daniel Rincon | 29c | 133.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 132.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Daniel Rincon | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Daniel Rincon | 30c | 117.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Daniel Rincon | 38c | 115.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daniel Rincon | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Toby Samuel | 64c | 114.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Rincon | 39c | 113.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniel Rincon | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Daniel Rincon | 42c | 105.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Toby Samuel | 56c | 105.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Toby Samuel | 65c | 103.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Daniel Rincon | 42c | 102.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Daniel Rincon | 29c | 102.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Toby Samuel | 59c | 99.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Toby Samuel | 64c | 99.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Daniel Rincon | 39c | 98.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Toby Samuel | 53c | 97.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Daniel Rincon | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Daniel Rincon | 44c | 93.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Rincon | 47c | 93.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 88.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Daniel Rincon | 50c | 87.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuelthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Rincon vs SamuelRincon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.