TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes12c7,493$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.174242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c6,089$3,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.951,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.958321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes10c3,368$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.181,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c2,795$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.758,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes44c1,874$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.6920046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c1,340$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.575,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes4c1,071$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+224.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No76c755.03$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c742.31$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.51,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No73c720.58$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5610456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c695.15$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.851,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes65c692.31$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c686.65$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9228158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No37c621.59$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c617.34$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.041,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…d098backed Yes65c606.06$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3788554.1%46 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3787943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c592.2$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.831,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No70c573.35$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.799361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No70c554.64$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.766451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c540.1$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.073,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No75c493.83$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4736757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes46c481.19$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.992,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444613%6 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes65c386$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.93259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No37c305.18$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3381740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No53c291.78$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5218859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes13c285$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.993458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No50c270.91$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4726160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes40c253.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.291338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.513545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Yes12c239.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.733351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Yes65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Yes64c217.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.963764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes65c216.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes64c206.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.221,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No66c202.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.853050%15 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes65c178.19$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8216160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Yes65c170.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.871662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No37c164.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4117857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes65c163.17$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0616759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c162.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.581,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.163633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed No65c154.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.113053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.451154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No36c152.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8516459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No36c149.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8431226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes64c143.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.382,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes66c142.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.257133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes65c132$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.84156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked No39c129.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.773650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f87…4a86backed Yes65c123.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes65c111$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.156144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes65c111$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes65c111$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.151968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed Yes65c111$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1348922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6111245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes65c96.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.796857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No43c94.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.258964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes64c94.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5251749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes65c92.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes15c90.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes64c90.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.791,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Yes64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Yes65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Yes65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No35c89.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4921359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No64c89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.247660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No36c84.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542568%17 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes36c84.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No36c82.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked No36c82.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.774761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes44c81.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Yes65c81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes64c80.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.768961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes65c79$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No38c77.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7819955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No38c77.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7815654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed No38c77.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.783461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Yes65c75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes65c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.511059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked No36c69.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes26c68.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9249535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.575549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No36c66.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9116653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No63c66.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.34374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.