TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x397e…3d84backed Yes19c2,808$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.0399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No57c2,574$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.130847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c1,667$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.541,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes25c1,301$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.0411055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.482744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes27c1,059$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.910922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6b9…a41ebacked No76c1,021$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes71c1,001$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.816731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c807.77$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.232,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes18c798.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.2420059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes24c757.74$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.771,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c739.42$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.725,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes24c679.75$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.311,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes23c526.44$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.3984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes16c485.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.249361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes16c446.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.136369.8%44 W · 19 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes16c441.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.518964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes16c414.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.138961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c377.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.53,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c366.75$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.571,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c350$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No69c324.76$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.991,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes16c319.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.838851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.54761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes16c309.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.224374.4%32 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c305.54$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.368,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2371,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes21c261.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.922049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes16c247.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1412259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No63c235.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No79c231.86$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.173,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No80c230.95$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.761,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3910155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No79c210.06$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7110456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Yes16c206.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.223764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No74c190.45$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6117857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c166$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.51,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Yes16c161.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.952860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Yes16c161.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.765362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c160.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No63c153.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8618338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No73c136.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes16c123.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.567857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes16c123.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae02…7ed0backed Yes16c121.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c119.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes26c117.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.12133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes13c113.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.362755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No75c108.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No75c108.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1718154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No75c108.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1716759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No75c108.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1712361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes70c108$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.44731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No75c107.7$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1733560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed No75c107.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.171662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No75c103.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5628158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No75c103.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No75c102.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5436757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+316.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes32c97.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4918733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes29c96.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5510331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes24c95.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.911,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes21c93.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.751,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1744…30debacked Yes21c82.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+378.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No73c74.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5515654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes27c67.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Yes18c65.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.961866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+65.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed No76c64.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.792669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18d…8a38backed No80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.981,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes21c55.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.769936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes19c53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.937852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.54944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes23c49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.661,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes23c49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.661,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No75c46.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9716255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes24c43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b1…6d33backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No73c35.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.612766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed No80c31.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.142352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed No79c31.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.542050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes67c27.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No76c27.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.027660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8340…b29bbacked No69c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a9…3003backed No80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick80cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.