TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c43,121$21,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,869.161,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over51c26,775$13,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,655.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under36c15,206$5,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,664.826657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c12,367$4,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,701.7459441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Over59c11,500$6,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,804.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over64c10,704$6,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,876.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over61c10,222$6,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,281.1610742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under21c9,529$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,480.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over51c9,526$4,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,858.024766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over78c7,461$5,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,819.813857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under48c6,091$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.688259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under36c5,630$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.198647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over62c5,516$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-79%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c5,344$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.1610648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Over63c4,655$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c4,033$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.3546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over63c3,833$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.875552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under54c3,695$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.9621938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over17c3,434$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.782128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c3,374$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.745263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c3,362$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.4610852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over62c3,152$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.46657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c3,072$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.641,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over51c2,922$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.433348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under47c2,594$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.223762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c2,589$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.5141553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under38c2,498$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.822965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c2,473$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.758853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c2,442$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.161447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over63c2,355$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.364365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e9…ce05backed Under43c2,225$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x947f…fb99backed Under45c2,149$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Over47c2,072$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.1970%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over61c2,055$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.043745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2804358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Over80c2,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5905145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9110232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Under39c1,984$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under39c1,806$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.215362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6492…de49backed Under18c1,701$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+170.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c1,683$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.5945042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over64c1,682$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.242532%8 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c1,645$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.778223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over62c1,595$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.779757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over67c1,538$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.569754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over64c1,529$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.47245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over79c1,324$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.734946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under38c1,267$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under39c1,235$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.437100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2cb5…bc24backed Over64c1,223$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under25c1,196$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.649749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa179…258ebacked Over8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.481560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under43c1,127$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.687058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Over15c1,103$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.441533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under47c1,076$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.985538.2%21 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+176.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under38c1,041$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.165957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under20c1,022$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.0924245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over62c999.96$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.983056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4f…628ebacked Under38c998.22$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.961369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c985.95$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.256352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under43c977.11$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.422969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over49c974.5$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.694259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.31369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c899.06$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0623637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under43c889.23$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Over47c879.99$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over64c840.81$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.126864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c789.66$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5824340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over62c788.52$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.883764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over62c788.06$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over48c768.35$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.485036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c756.93$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.996744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over65c753.08$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.54759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under27c711.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7259136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over23c704.72$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.091118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under51c672.96$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.127834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109b…cc8cbacked Over62c630.45$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over67c623.2$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.844470.5%31 W · 13 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under38c615.5$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.591747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under39c613.13$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.014465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c607.64$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6139443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over62c606.81$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.221747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under43c604.4$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.424850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602536%9 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Under50c588$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2965856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab5…2663backed Over45c551.55$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over39c541.53$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da4…803ebacked Over58c540.66$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.81714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over62c537.46$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.231030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under38c530.67$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.022941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over41c521.58$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under39c516.06$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.682766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.057728.6%22 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c511.86$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.332944.7%147 W · 182 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0299…5f02backed Over12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.