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Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liverpool FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Liverpool FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC18c132,241$23,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,774.433652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c129,991$23,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,098.456048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc123…50afbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC19c27,437$5,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,213.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Liverpool FC73c5,143$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.599348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c3,736$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.766959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC27c3,541$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.21233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7df…4158backed Paris Saint-Germain FC19c2,564$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c2,515$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.595928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC15c1,472$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.832626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c1,429$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.14616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c1,373$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Liverpool FC80c1,367$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.352445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC18c1,340$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.217435.1%26 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Liverpool FC79c1,251$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.21154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14e0…6829backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c1,118$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.041827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c1,028$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6310729%31 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC2c802.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.169946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+89.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC23c531.17$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.411,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC15c499.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Paris Saint-Germain FC16c495.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.261520%3 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-39.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Liverpool FC74c492.2$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.971338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c433.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.666628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c367.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.555550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Paris Saint-Germain FC29c331.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.737728.6%22 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC34c317.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Paris Saint-Germain FC16c296.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4827244.1%120 W · 152 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.511822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.542060%12 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c264.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.545328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC19c257.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.81195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-89%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Paris Saint-Germain FC16c254.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.341,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c252.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.192846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC33c202.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c194.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.06825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC19c190.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.151323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Liverpool FC76c182.5$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c181.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.213447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC17c175.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC15c173.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0120655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c161.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2318334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c157.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.152326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC18c154.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.532920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Paris Saint-Germain FC16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7414145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC20c143.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.567639.5%30 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paris Saint-Germain FC21c142.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6614220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c139.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.392020%4 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC28c136.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.272133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+115.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8280…1002backed Paris Saint-Germain FC30c136.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC78c126.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC17c119.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf180…e54cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC31c117.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.433435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC45c117.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.31921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd42…c4aebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC17c115.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c107.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.421735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC33c105.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.714757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9df…5c7abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC19c101.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.031136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Paris Saint-Germain FC28c100.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.714729.8%14 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC35c99.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c98.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.838953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Paris Saint-Germain FC38c98.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…7ff6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c97.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c96…8724backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c95.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-80.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c95.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.114528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC28c94.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2963137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.894250%21 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.892850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.89933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf562…8f25backed Paris Saint-Germain FC17c89.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.242850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9acf…903bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC14c85.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC18c79.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…b8c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c67.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883154.8%17 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liverpool FC66c67.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.526145.6%119 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Liverpool FC78c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.962045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Liverpool FC71c30.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Liverpool FC68c19.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.343174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Liverpool FC74c15.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0155…a580backed Liverpool FC77c13.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.227100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+88.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.