TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf180…e54c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT4825%12 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.19
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$178.14
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$58.46
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.57
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.32
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$88.9
West Ham United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$64.01
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.05
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.54
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$114
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+96.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.