TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Sentinels, FlyQuest
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2c…1019backed FlyQuest0c56,404$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Sentinels46c12,167$5,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,615.9867250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked FlyQuest38c5,208$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.9266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Sentinels59c5,206$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.0611060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked FlyQuest52c4,450$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.6653355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FlyQuest31c4,362$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.5869539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked FlyQuest32c3,905$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.195951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed Sentinels45c3,453$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.5221137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest43c2,529$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.231,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed FlyQuest30c2,476$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.3925952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FlyQuest11c2,439$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.333,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels46c2,333$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.21,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FlyQuest40c2,306$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.441,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed FlyQuest55c2,146$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.3676953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Sentinels65c2,022$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.621,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels41c1,946$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.532,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed FlyQuest26c1,854$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2713647.1%64 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FlyQuest39c1,719$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.6185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Sentinels78c1,719$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.667553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed FlyQuest62c1,574$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.2651044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FlyQuest41c1,547$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.072,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked FlyQuest58c1,367$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78660347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels68c1,229$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed FlyQuest52c1,227$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.521,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Sentinels43c1,226$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.1382953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed FlyQuest56c1,197$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0812349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Sentinels42c1,184$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.0550647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels61c1,133$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.122,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked FlyQuest49c1,107$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.321,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked FlyQuest59c1,038$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.5290537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a22…fca9backed FlyQuest10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021443.9%94 W · 120 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked FlyQuest55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5509364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Sentinels42c965.2$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.821,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FlyQuest34c931.95$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.861,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed FlyQuest57c896.56$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.2979151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked FlyQuest12c868.27$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1937633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest35c804.87$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.612,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb05…ed70backed Sentinels46c769.16$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.018458.3%49 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Sentinels41c766.35$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.8144042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed FlyQuest42c700$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5719738.6%76 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels42c626.41$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.323,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Sentinels43c573.42$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.7886251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Sentinels47c517.26$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2454246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FlyQuest55c502.37$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.991,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Sentinels58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21046650.9%237 W · 229 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Sentinels39c494.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.061,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Sentinels45c491.56$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8195847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest44c436.89$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.552,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked FlyQuest22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3232036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed FlyQuest9c425.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9310346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Sentinels71c420.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5541060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd7e…48cabacked FlyQuest10c401.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed FlyQuest47c387.28$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0217150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed FlyQuest25c383.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.542847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed FlyQuest10c381.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3513842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FlyQuest35c369.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8773237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed FlyQuest21c350.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Sentinels52c347.82$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8318554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Sentinels46c338.16$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.924247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked FlyQuest58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9626448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Sentinels42c328.42$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.481,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sentinels66c325.89$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.81,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fb…263abacked FlyQuest53c323.84$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.034630.4%14 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FlyQuest41c322.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6174250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels56c317.78$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8283560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed FlyQuest18c316.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1652538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked FlyQuest58c305.89$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4135164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed FlyQuest35c302.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7139239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Sentinels42c299.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1910760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FlyQuest29c298$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.122,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels77c295.84$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3950569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1e…6b97backed FlyQuest53c291.53$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.426253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked FlyQuest55c286.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5443358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed FlyQuest41c270.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9326062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Sentinels66c265.14$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1337161.7%229 W · 142 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FlyQuest28c249.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.891,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6bd1…3f34backed FlyQuest25c242.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.312931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FlyQuest42c241.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.291,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FlyQuest8c233.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Sentinels42c230.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3382650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FlyQuest36c211.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.82,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Sentinels48c207.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1674344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked FlyQuest48c202.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0513652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked FlyQuest57c189.71$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1416555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked FlyQuest12c189.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4633125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Sentinels42c183.85$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6320445.1%92 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked FlyQuest53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FlyQuest28c180.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Sentinels42c174.93$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4670057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed FlyQuest57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.421,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Sentinels60c162.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2634960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Sentinels42c162.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.11,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed FlyQuest55c154.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.910350.5%52 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FlyQuest39c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5869644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Sentinels77c136.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3862558.7%367 W · 258 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed FlyQuest9c128.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5715956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3976…d68ebacked FlyQuest21c128.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4611630.2%35 W · 81 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca8…3a5dbacked FlyQuest58c126.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.111850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FlyQuest48c120.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.941,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed FlyQuest41c118.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7574849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.