Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9760a27ae8d1df396baa5df212441fc6171a116c213df58342b92643761485a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 63c | 2,437$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.64 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 837.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 32c | 381$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 344.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 296.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 39c | 219$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 185.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 166.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 130.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 72c | 128.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 37c | 115.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…e54cbacked Yes | 37c | 108.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 64c | 93.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed No | 63c | 93.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 37c | 91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 19c | 90.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 38c | 85.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 31c | 57.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 51.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 34c | 39.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 37c | 38.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 37c | 38.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 36.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 37c | 27.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…a467backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.