Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1591a4c5776e3bb899eefed88c1268860e25ab71ac3876c2a0af9f04e990e252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 1,698$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 1,335$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.64 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 635$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 40c | 317.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 40c | 317.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 38c | 289$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 282$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 278.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 226.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 200.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 153.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 65c | 114$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 109.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 97.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 37c | 88.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 43c | 44.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 49c | 40.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…240cbacked Yes | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 48c | 36.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 30c | 32.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 36c | 32.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 36c | 32.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…a557backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 60c | 29.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 37c | 26.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0516backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.