Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c09112b1f4c2c3aa1e237a3df44997c59e78e7c3f3c8e3a3853fd1864a8bde3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,166$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 901.32$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.67 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 873.9$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…74b4backed No | 3c | 833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 619$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 507.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.38 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 370.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 313.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…d33ebacked Yes | 76c | 166$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 120.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…58bdbacked Yes | 27c | 72.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 74c | 63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 60.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 47.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…bd8dbacked Yes | 77c | 40.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 64c | 36.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 29c | 34.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…1305backed Yes | 77c | 31.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.