Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f593722ee6dcb62dbedd209c255c1f902e14dca380a81d0dcd748eaee0666de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 58c | 2,450$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,405$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.74 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 1,054$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 1,003$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 784.17$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 59c | 746.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 697.33$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.9 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 42c | 476.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 59c | 382.71$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 294.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 59c | 269.02$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 209$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…0b53backed No | 50c | 201.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218a…181bbacked No | 50c | 201.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…472abacked No | 50c | 201.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…de01backed No | 50c | 200.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…eca1backed No | 50c | 199.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…6c73backed No | 50c | 199.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…6b73backed No | 50c | 199.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7508…8d4ebacked No | 50c | 198.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…5221backed No | 50c | 198.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…055dbacked No | 50c | 198.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…8395backed No | 50c | 197.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…9458backed No | 50c | 197.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…550ebacked No | 50c | 197.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529b…cf37backed No | 50c | 196.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…4131backed No | 50c | 192.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 42c | 188.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 59c | 176.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…e54cbacked Yes | 42c | 152.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes | 46c | 96.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 75.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 57c | 54.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed No | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 50.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed No | 59c | 46.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 53c | 46.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 59c | 43.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 41c | 42.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…b602backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 41c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 41c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 58c | 29.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 36c | 28.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 41c | 27.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes | 41c | 27.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 41c | 27.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 58c | 24.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 59c | 24.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 57c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 59c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.