Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x035de3b4a43ad252998981aaa4437911ccd6fe75e50ce0ac38e2da92b144f3ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 482.3$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 11c | 318$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…6690backed No | 54c | 239.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…6558backed No | 54c | 234.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…15e2backed No | 54c | 232.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…60dcbacked No | 54c | 230.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…afeabacked No | 54c | 229.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…d9c3backed No | 54c | 228.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…9a7dbacked No | 54c | 227.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…8031backed No | 54c | 227.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…85a3backed No | 54c | 227.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…6817backed No | 54c | 226.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…f3d6backed No | 54c | 225.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…de78backed No | 54c | 224.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…dd5fbacked No | 54c | 223.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…3b22backed No | 54c | 222.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…304fbacked No | 54c | 220.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 97.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 73c | 96.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes | 27c | 89.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 62.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…02b0backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.