Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b309057318e75f9857fe52af07e16a1fe2ce4186da9886299ad1d6282605a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,150,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,996,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,150,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 40c | 659,612$260,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399,019.87 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 61c | 362,903$221,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221,036.5 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 49c | 268,453$130,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,439.33 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 40c | 175,397$69,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,764.93 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 164,234$97,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,564.34 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 60c | 130,604$78,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,187.02 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 10c | 93,692$9,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,203.55 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 40c | 70,811$28,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,486.85 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 69,770$51,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,273.34 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 64,262$40,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,083.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 41c | 64,100$26,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,819.25 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 3c | 61,750$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 39c | 59,979$23,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,856.6 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 59c | 59,749$35,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,251.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed No | 42c | 57,452$24,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,322.38 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 41c | 41,750$17,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,632.45 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 39,999$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,599.4 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 41c | 38,500$15,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,715 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Yes | 9c | 37,826$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 64c | 37,763$24,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,168.11 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 59c | 34,749$20,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,502.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 32,557$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.66 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 31,869$11,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,232.22 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 23c | 27,641$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…bc23backed No | 67c | 25,464$17,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,384.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 36c | 24,635$8,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,766.23 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 37c | 23,729$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,949.37 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 37c | 22,426$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,128.38 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 37c | 20,904$7,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,169.39 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 20,357$6,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,451.41 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 36c | 19,875$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,719.89 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 37c | 19,636$7,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,370.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 38c | 16,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,849.81 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 41c | 14,918$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,801.68 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…9b36backed Yes | 59c | 13,226$7,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,803.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 60c | 12,973$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.57 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 2c | 12,490$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.17 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 42c | 12,439$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 63c | 12,403$7,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,813.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 11,704$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,905.04 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 40c | 10,642$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385.12 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 50c | 10,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 37c | 10,334$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.92 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 60c | 9,760$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed No | 38c | 9,628$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,969.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…275dbacked Yes | 62c | 9,457$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 37c | 9,293$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.38 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 2c | 8,771$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 41c | 8,400$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 40c | 8,320$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.96 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 8,205$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.83 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 61c | 8,000$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes | 7c | 7,812$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 64c | 7,644$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 64c | 7,644$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 40c | 7,570$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.43 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 37c | 7,500$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…0da5backed Yes | 64c | 7,498$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 37c | 7,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.77 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 6,988$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 63c | 6,758$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.81 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 59c | 6,613$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 62c | 6,562$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.27 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 37c | 6,500$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.91 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 37c | 6,500$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.83 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed No | 39c | 6,312$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.07 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 62c | 6,305$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…4397backed Yes | 4c | 6,293$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 6,245$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.82 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed No | 41c | 6,200$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 36c | 6,099$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 38c | 6,001$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.45 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 64c | 5,962$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.76 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 42c | 5,917$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.93 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 39c | 5,780$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 50c | 5,596$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.97 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 36c | 4,967$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.78 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Yes | 59c | 4,877$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed No | 37c | 4,657$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 62c | 4,600$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.99 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.89 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 38c | 4,445$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 36c | 4,437$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.81 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 78c | 4,424$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.35 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 59c | 4,389$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 4c | 4,327$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 61c | 4,223$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.03 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 15c | 4,133$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.64 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,083$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.86 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.