Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52930ef61d54436268b32a6420ba7ca45d4db0241922bd4a7803fde6162f6f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked No | 77c | 61,149$47,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,064.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 26,114$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.17 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 76c | 13,652$10,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.2 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 18c | 12,462$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.65 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 77c | 11,210$8,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.19 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed No | 72c | 10,115$7,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 8,596$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.18 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…bc23backed No | 73c | 7,678$5,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 28c | 6,469$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.34 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…8189backed Yes | 27c | 5,824$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…7e0fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,784$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 4,556$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.29 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 22c | 4,485$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.77 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 22c | 4,333$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 22c | 4,333$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.2 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 3,924$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.44 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 3,749$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.17 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,625$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.44 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Yes | 5c | 3,546$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 23c | 3,534$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 28c | 3,417$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 3,328$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.17 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…933ebacked No | 79c | 3,187$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 20c | 2,984$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.56 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 22c | 2,938$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 2,761$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.9 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…b9c5backed No | 78c | 2,571$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 22c | 2,364$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.11 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,327$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 26c | 2,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 21c | 2,289$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.3 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 2,222$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.61 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…e3febacked Yes | 9c | 2,201$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes | 15c | 2,141$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.1 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 17c | 2,041$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.91 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 1,970$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.03 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 18c | 1,952$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 77c | 1,917$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.9 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 5c | 1,915$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 21c | 1,887$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.81 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 78c | 1,841$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.22 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 20c | 1,645$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.6 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 12c | 1,594$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Yes | 14c | 1,541$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,535$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.57 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…6dd5backed Yes | 23c | 1,493$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 23c | 1,458$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.27 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,427$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 1,421$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…c869backed No | 78c | 1,419$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed No | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…d5c1backed No | 78c | 1,316$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 23c | 1,302$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.04 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…59b7backed Yes | 5c | 1,228$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 23c | 1,213$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 23c | 1,201$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked Yes | 17c | 1,112$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 17c | 1,098$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Yes | 24c | 1,094$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 23c | 1,074$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 1,036$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 19c | 1,027$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 17c | 1,006$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…d9b5backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Yes | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 941.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 23c | 932.07$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 23c | 829.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…5983backed Yes | 12c | 807.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 780.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 14c | 758.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 17c | 734.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 27c | 703.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 700.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 78c | 695.82$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 22c | 694.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 13c | 663.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 23c | 660.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.81 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 15c | 659.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…39e7backed Yes | 14c | 652.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a81…6566backed Yes | 23c | 618.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 27c | 609.13$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 78c | 593.2$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 23c | 589.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…8639backed Yes | 17c | 588.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…2498backed Yes | 4c | 579.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked Yes | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed No | 78c | 540.15$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 18c | 533.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 526.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…93cdbacked Yes | 19c | 500.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…c274backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 25c | 499.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.