Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x603417d2577ba295116a75a47ccdc2c6776c8895627a03d695f29f84b96e3ddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,677$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 1,602$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.4 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 22c | 908.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 65c | 898$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.35 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 39c | 495$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 65c | 433.6$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 64c | 311.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 13c | 306.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 10c | 303.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 24c | 299.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.94 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…402dbacked Yes | 36c | 288.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 266.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.87 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 258.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 249.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.61 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 216.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 214.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 209.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 78c | 205$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Yes | 78c | 205$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 61c | 195$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 78c | 179.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 80c | 158.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 77c | 137.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 30c | 134.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 77c | 134.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 77c | 134.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 77c | 134.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 77c | 134.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 77c | 130.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 129.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 128.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 126.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 79c | 126.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…eacdbacked No | 14c | 114.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…e54cbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 27c | 110.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 23c | 104.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 101.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 21c | 100.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ca…17f3backed No | 66c | 95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 83.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed No | 22c | 82.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 22c | 77.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 73c | 68.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 77c | 53.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 61c | 50.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 68c | 48.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 67c | 42.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 66c | 42.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 65c | 40.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 65c | 40.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked No | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 36.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 62c | 29.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…0921backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 80c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 65c | 18.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 65c | 17.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 65c | 16.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed No | 80c | 15.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.