Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9005f32720720d72b64def1ef2ef70d727cf52bd834ce2711a603867d664fa84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 38c | 4,620$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.64 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 3,471$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,768$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…7ae6backed Yes | 26c | 803.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…fb42backed No | 74c | 803.02$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Yes | 76c | 658.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 366.38$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…425bbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 326.3$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…402dbacked Yes | 27c | 292.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 68c | 278.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 218.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 22c | 195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…1335backed Yes | 27c | 186.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 29c | 172.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f86…b83dbacked Yes | 76c | 165.34$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 27c | 153.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 146.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c01…f06cbacked Yes | 69c | 143.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Yes | 39c | 133.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 78c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 27c | 115.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 63c | 106.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 74c | 100.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 89.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 81.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 78c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 78.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 17c | 78.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 66c | 63.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Yes | 56c | 54.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 38.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 33.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 30.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 63c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed No | 55c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed No | 64c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-04-07?No won
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.