Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9029aa6903a8bd28518c6974eb63b6e1928573e5737f9a88633dbe44deae1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 62c | 3,150$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 62c | 3,054$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 3,030$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.01 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 39c | 861.38$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.04 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 768$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 7c | 571$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 454.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 40c | 433.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 337.12$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 37c | 309.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 57c | 281.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 188.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 179.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed No | 62c | 172.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 77c | 156$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 23c | 119.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 78c | 96.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 95.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 95.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 78c | 95.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 43c | 71.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 61.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 61c | 57.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 33c | 43.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 38c | 27.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…61f6backed No | 62c | 26.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 76c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed No | 62c | 19.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 64c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-04-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.