Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1df75ed0ed2ec0d814cb25482411471001e3c8ece33f7d4d9049ecc8ea18cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof ThunderTalk Gaming, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $832,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports | 73c | 83,609$60,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,805.95 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked LNG Esports | 72c | 41,753$29,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,817.43 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked LNG Esports | 69c | 31,500$21,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,627.19 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…9452backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 30,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed LNG Esports | 74c | 21,391$15,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.64 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 19,894$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.26 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 18,888$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.88 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 15,873$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 177 | 29.9%53 W · 124 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed LNG Esports | 74c | 14,500$10,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 14,500$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed LNG Esports | 71c | 14,000$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.99 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 12,542$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.88 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked LNG Esports | 69c | 12,500$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 12,003$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.71 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 11,711$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.95 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 11,556$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 11,443$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.05 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed LNG Esports | 71c | 11,000$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 9,780$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.71 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 9,709$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.09 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 9,632$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.37 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 9,478$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.52 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LNG Esports | 72c | 8,255$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.73 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 8,083$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.14 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 7,928$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.12 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 7,810$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.6 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 7,767$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.1 | 122 | 36.9%45 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 7,434$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.87 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 7,263$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.08 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LNG Esports | 73c | 7,000$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 7,000$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.92 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked LNG Esports | 68c | 6,999$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.24 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 6,656$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.63 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 6,361$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.21 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed LNG Esports | 71c | 6,028$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.04 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed LNG Esports | 70c | 5,689$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.09 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 5,356$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.33 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 5,318$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.5 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…e845backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 5,256$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.16 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed LNG Esports | 73c | 4,990$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.24 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 4,906$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.47 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 4,807$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.1 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…b9d8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 4,704$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.62 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed LNG Esports | 78c | 4,644$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.63 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed LNG Esports | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed LNG Esports | 75c | 4,388$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.03 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 4,181$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 4,159$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.43 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 4,107$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 4,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 3,700$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…432abacked LNG Esports | 73c | 3,603$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.33 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 3,393$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.68 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 3,380$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.07 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 3,232$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.49 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…de38backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 3,176$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.07 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 3,002$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.54 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed LNG Esports | 72c | 3,000$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed LNG Esports | 68c | 3,000$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.87 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…fc4bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 3,000$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 2,921$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed LNG Esports | 68c | 2,865$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.67 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…9670backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 2,767$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 2,700$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,677$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed LNG Esports | 77c | 2,590$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.1 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LNG Esports | 75c | 2,515$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.41 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 2,424$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.53 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 2,407$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 2,320$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.49 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 2,268$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 2,249$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.92 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,193$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.76 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LNG Esports | 72c | 2,181$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.31 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 2,056$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.26 | 464 | 36.4%169 W · 295 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 2,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed LNG Esports | 77c | 2,000$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.86 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked LNG Esports | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e36…5dddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 1,936$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,928$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.03 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,914$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.19 | 498 | 41.6%207 W · 291 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 1,784$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed LNG Esports | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,574$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 1,548$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 1,544$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,514$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 288 | 36.8%106 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 1,508$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 1,503$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.9 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanathis page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.