Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c801f9eae41fa702a4ec4afada3a7a7b4f3d7daeccd485e48cae8b35ba58768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof ThunderTalk Gaming, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2935…96f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked LNG Esports | 75c | 13,271$9,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.11 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 10,617$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.33 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed LNG Esports | 67c | 9,860$6,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.92 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 5,797$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.19 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 5,510$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked LNG Esports | 67c | 5,000$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.12 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LNG Esports | 64c | 4,500$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 4,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LNG Esports | 65c | 3,877$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.8 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 3,738$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 3,636$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.23 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 3,224$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.03 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked LNG Esports | 65c | 2,990$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.55 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 2,985$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.56 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LNG Esports | 71c | 2,794$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.39 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked LNG Esports | 71c | 2,742$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.18 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked LNG Esports | 64c | 2,611$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.96 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 2,600$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.99 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LNG Esports | 72c | 2,200$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.87 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 2,100$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 1,920$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.4 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 1,862$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 1,811$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 1,570$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 1,541$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…068abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,292$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 1,282$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 1,260$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LNG Esports | 66c | 1,249$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.66 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7c53backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,100$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 185 | 61.1%113 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 999.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports | 66c | 891.12$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed LNG Esports | 76c | 849.52$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…b283backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 812.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…1582backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 700$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked LNG Esports | 71c | 587$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…b4eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LNG Esports | 72c | 513.16$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked LNG Esports | 63c | 501.82$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5032backed LNG Esports | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3e5dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 443.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 434.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…2ed5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 410$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…6cdebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fed5backed LNG Esports | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 398$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…ae10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 397.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked LNG Esports | 68c | 388$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed LNG Esports | 74c | 290.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed LNG Esports | 70c | 285.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…1a8fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 282.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 279.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 270$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LNG Esports | 73c | 264.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 259.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed LNG Esports | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 243.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked LNG Esports | 74c | 242.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 232$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed LNG Esports | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 210$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 203.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 201.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…0c6fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 199.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…5960backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked LNG Esports | 66c | 195.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 195$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…edafbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 189.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 131 | 65.6%86 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 168.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked LNG Esports | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed LNG Esports | 72c | 158.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 156.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 155.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…19bebacked LNG Esports | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 255 | 60.4%154 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 147.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked LNG Esports | 65c | 147.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 110 | 62.7%69 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 146.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 394 | 51%201 W · 193 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed LNG Esports | 72c | 131.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked LNG Esports | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.