TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e08…2ed5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.04
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.1
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$183.7
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$56.37
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$111.84
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$120.6
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.21
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$109.78
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.11
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.51
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.01
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.17
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.31
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$139.06
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.57
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.82
Shymkent 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.91
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wongbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.73
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.33
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.74
Aix en Provence: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.48
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.45
Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Waltonbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.55
Jiujiang: Coleman Wong vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+171.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$43.28
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$113.1
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$76.21
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.52
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$112.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.