TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, RED Canids
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked RED Canids26c7,227$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.391,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed FURIA Esports49c7,188$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.9551044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed RED Canids47c7,085$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.2717155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed RED Canids53c6,877$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,637.741,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed FURIA Esports73c5,523$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.721,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports67c5,248$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.91,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed RED Canids15c4,115$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick31cpaid-82.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA Esports42c3,827$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.082,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked RED Canids57c3,817$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed RED Canids5c3,663$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9445618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports45c3,292$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.161,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked FURIA Esports54c3,248$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.1667760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed RED Canids45c3,035$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.23,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked RED Canids51c2,735$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.9190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked RED Canids55c2,502$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.5713538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed RED Canids53c2,250$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.51,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports48c2,200$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.832,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked FURIA Esports65c2,037$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.6783560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed FURIA Esports48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9963546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed RED Canids54c1,850$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.81,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed RED Canids44c1,760$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.421,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed FURIA Esports50c1,702$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.821,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA Esports49c1,523$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.051,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked FURIA Esports47c1,500$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.51,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed RED Canids52c1,485$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.21,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed RED Canids28c1,243$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.775141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed RED Canids17c1,222$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7124835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed RED Canids67c1,221$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.071,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed FURIA Esports52c1,216$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.781,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked FURIA Esports43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6841,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed RED Canids46c1,200$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9382953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked RED Canids51c1,166$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019151.8%99 W · 92 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports42c1,161$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.971,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed RED Canids10c1,152$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.611,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed FURIA Esports45c1,117$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.8854246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked RED Canids50c1,100$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.331,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed FURIA Esports48c1,077$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.2252848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed RED Canids50c1,061$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked RED Canids18c1,045$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.021,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed RED Canids50c1,032$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51628827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked RED Canids52c1,032$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.5687844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed RED Canids43c1,030$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6276142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FURIA Esports48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed RED Canids61c981.19$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.2214930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed RED Canids40c965.64$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6785652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked FURIA Esports48c950$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4946063.3%38 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA Esports56c903.93$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.731,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked RED Canids27c860.96$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed RED Canids68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54486251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked RED Canids43c779.6$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports71c775$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22874250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked RED Canids57c750.99$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.061,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids49c699.65$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.352,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed FURIA Esports45c690.7$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2550749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed RED Canids27c665.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1462158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed RED Canids16c633.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed FURIA Esports49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed RED Canids54c609.98$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3964247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids52c521.86$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.852,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed RED Canids13c503.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.453831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a9…5225backed RED Canids25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258739.1%34 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked FURIA Esports45c499.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.991,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked FURIA Esports48c498.8$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.543358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed FURIA Esports43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed FURIA Esports41c453.64$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5423149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2eb…8979backed FURIA Esports45c444.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3318347.5%87 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed RED Canids25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FURIA Esports47c393.96$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.821,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids47c366.23$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.752,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked FURIA Esports68c356.85$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8555347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed FURIA Esports75c336$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8415953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7de…5f66backed FURIA Esports43c333.4$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed FURIA Esports49c327.09$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6321948.4%106 W · 113 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FURIA Esports44c321$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.231,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed FURIA Esports53c316.41$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0425074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked RED Canids6c314.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8560124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked FURIA Esports48c313.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9243453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed RED Canids53c300$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3794237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked FURIA Esports72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8422250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed RED Canids5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621.6%1 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked RED Canids5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514628.8%42 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked RED Canids5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157733.8%26 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed FURIA Esports45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked RED Canids5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked RED Canids5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151095.5%6 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked RED Canids6c299.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823023%53 W · 177 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked FURIA Esports47c297.48$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6670456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked RED Canids51c291.36$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5986649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124a…3741backed FURIA Esports42c291.13$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0311438.6%44 W · 70 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked RED Canids52c286.63$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1848847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed FURIA Esports44c272.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7328042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked FURIA Esports47c260.02$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5399747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed RED Canids39c255.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed RED Canids12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids44c248.74$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.461,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0f…732abacked RED Canids52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12513441.8%56 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed RED Canids56c235.14$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13217658%102 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed RED Canids27c232.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5582836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed FURIA Esports43c232$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2439056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed FURIA Esports43c230.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2364451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.