Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f8f8b3ab93ad68f95062baa7b7a3bb0a68e94a38bd3edb9d2eb86b3567db720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof RED Canids, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked RED Canids | 31c | 7,083$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.64 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked FURIA Esports | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 3,333$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.72 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 28c | 1,400$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed RED Canids | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked RED Canids | 27c | 996.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.14 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed RED Canids | 33c | 560.53$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 550$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 446.38$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RED Canids | 27c | 145$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 116.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed RED Canids | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed RED Canids | 27c | 56.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed RED Canids | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked FURIA Esports | 72c | 41.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed RED Canids | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FURIA Esports | 68c | 36.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RED Canids | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed RED Canids | 37c | 30.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked RED Canids | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.