TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Weibo Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$526,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f47…d0a3backed Weibo Gaming0c40,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130923.3%3 W · 89 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.941,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Weibo Gaming42c18,511$7,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,849.411,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Top Esports58c12,934$7,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,376.6553750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Weibo Gaming46c11,211$5,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,206.5451044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Weibo Gaming9c11,071$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.844120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Weibo Gaming1c9,424$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557451.4%295 W · 279 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Top Esports59c9,153$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,752.8564455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Weibo Gaming42c7,378$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Weibo Gaming41c7,258$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.833935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked Top Esports63c6,841$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.9613165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Weibo Gaming40c6,667$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.771,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Weibo Gaming49c6,222$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.1427753.1%147 W · 130 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Top Esports74c6,000$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.5839964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Top Esports59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4602,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Weibo Gaming24c5,803$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.7614930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Top Esports53c5,792$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.3428827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Weibo Gaming42c5,740$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.8267760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Top Esports57c5,635$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.7796057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Top Esports64c5,436$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.1413333.8%45 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Weibo Gaming26c5,003$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.655639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Weibo Gaming42c4,261$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.6215153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a0…56c7backed Top Esports57c4,200$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8062236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick30cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Top Esports55c3,884$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.9115356.9%87 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Top Esports57c3,020$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7833945.4%154 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Top Esports60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20051160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Top Esports58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Weibo Gaming40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20055056.7%312 W · 238 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Weibo Gaming35c2,818$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.521,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Top Esports57c2,495$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.0977131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe4…e7b2backed Weibo Gaming43c2,322$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed Weibo Gaming41c2,245$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2731644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed Top Esports59c2,144$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.5811439.5%45 W · 69 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Weibo Gaming40c2,037$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.661,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Weibo Gaming56c2,000$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.4417749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Weibo Gaming42c1,925$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Weibo Gaming36c1,808$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.472,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Weibo Gaming43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77411249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…b4eabacked Top Esports77c1,776$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.814761.7%29 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Top Esports60c1,769$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.5917961.5%110 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Top Esports59c1,759$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.5440464.4%260 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Weibo Gaming40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Top Esports58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1251748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Weibo Gaming42c1,700$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70750242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Weibo Gaming1c1,649$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4919151.8%99 W · 92 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Top Esports64c1,554$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4937662%233 W · 143 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Weibo Gaming44c1,519$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.561,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Weibo Gaming20c1,500$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2949938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Top Esports59c1,483$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.038746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0d…5960backed Weibo Gaming20c1,400$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.316639.4%26 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports58c1,300$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5463,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Weibo Gaming34c1,279$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8656144.6%250 W · 311 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Weibo Gaming18c1,250$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.193,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Top Esports59c1,240$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.6996347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Top Esports55c1,211$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.641,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Top Esports58c1,204$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.485468.5%37 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Top Esports80c1,200$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3933058.5%193 W · 137 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Top Esports54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55214158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming42c1,200$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.991,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Top Esports51c1,182$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.4736040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c2abacked Top Esports62c1,179$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.79268.5%63 W · 29 L+13.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Top Esports66c1,163$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9767276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Top Esports59c1,150$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.650355.3%278 W · 225 L-21.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf97a…d5c5backed Weibo Gaming30c1,100$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.83941%16 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b7…5d2cbacked Top Esports74c1,080$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.027973.4%58 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Top Esports58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42017143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4431…f851backed Top Esports58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Weibo Gaming43c963.67$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41076030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba90…b283backed Weibo Gaming2c953.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9816925.4%43 W · 126 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ec0…5ff3backed Top Esports59c932.2$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.24242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Weibo Gaming2c930$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.345618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Weibo Gaming45c923.9$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.762,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Weibo Gaming44c901.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40054246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Weibo Gaming24c878.64$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.421,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Top Esports58c850$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35779653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Top Esports80c848.75$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7546257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Top Esports59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4683149.8%414 W · 417 L+2.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Top Esports60c845$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33820649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Weibo Gaming42c825.6$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8486144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Top Esports60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Weibo Gaming45c799.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36032534.8%113 W · 212 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Top Esports58c795.3$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.881,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Top Esports73c788.68$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.159259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Top Esports59c774.58$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5810351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Top Esports64c755$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0374250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Weibo Gaming40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Weibo Gaming44c739.28$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.181,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Top Esports57c736.84$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.8424858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be4…1f20backed Top Esports56c733.33$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3352947.6%252 W · 277 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Weibo Gaming41c729.68$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1740435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Weibo Gaming40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce15…43b7backed Weibo Gaming20c700$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1212970.5%91 W · 38 L+16.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Weibo Gaming33c657.09$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.211,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Top Esports59c629.5$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.11,00554%543 W · 462 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Weibo Gaming46c620.7$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5214154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8896…7c53backed Top Esports72c620.47$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5518561.1%113 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Weibo Gaming37c619.04$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.131,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd78…77debacked Top Esports58c617.77$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7713256.8%75 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea1…d143backed Weibo Gaming49c601.23$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.62552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Weibo Gaming2c600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.