Lol · resolved market
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf950278c1d2be231dd913a7eb704388477b94357136e9b7e2dacfb3330bcffb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Weibo Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming | 35c | 50,406$17,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,716.53 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Weibo Gaming | 44c | 50,340$22,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,149.59 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed Top Esports | 56c | 23,814$13,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,478.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Top Esports | 57c | 22,222$12,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,555.46 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Weibo Gaming | 44c | 21,500$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,460 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Top Esports | 56c | 20,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.99 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Weibo Gaming | 43c | 14,759$6,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,346.48 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Weibo Gaming | 41c | 14,555$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.3 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…768cbacked Top Esports | 74c | 14,086$10,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.88 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 13,853$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.76 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed Weibo Gaming | 65c | 13,362$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked Weibo Gaming | 43c | 13,083$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.51 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Top Esports | 56c | 12,521$7,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.92 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…56c7backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 10,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Top Esports | 57c | 9,987$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.11 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Top Esports | 57c | 9,767$5,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.48 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Top Esports | 59c | 8,119$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.85 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Top Esports | 62c | 8,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.73 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Top Esports | 58c | 7,759$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,258.62 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Weibo Gaming | 38c | 7,500$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.97 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed Weibo Gaming | 13c | 7,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 92 | 3.3%3 W · 89 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Top Esports | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.96 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Weibo Gaming | 43c | 6,000$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.52 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Top Esports | 56c | 5,991$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.25 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Top Esports | 56c | 5,875$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.96 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Weibo Gaming | 21c | 5,555$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.53 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Weibo Gaming | 3c | 5,500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Weibo Gaming | 1c | 5,480$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Weibo Gaming | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Top Esports | 63c | 5,241$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.34 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Weibo Gaming | 22c | 5,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Weibo Gaming | 26c | 4,749$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.03 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Weibo Gaming | 26c | 4,628$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.12 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Weibo Gaming | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Weibo Gaming | 41c | 4,444$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.13 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 4,431$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.21 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Top Esports | 69c | 4,202$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Weibo Gaming | 39c | 4,100$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.98 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Weibo Gaming | 19c | 3,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Top Esports | 57c | 3,479$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.52 | 248 | 58.1%144 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Top Esports | 56c | 3,064$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.67 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Top Esports | 79c | 2,910$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.97 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Top Esports | 57c | 2,626$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.18 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Weibo Gaming | 16c | 2,626$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Weibo Gaming | 40c | 2,531$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.29 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Weibo Gaming | 25c | 2,361$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Weibo Gaming | 17c | 2,300$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.99 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Top Esports | 59c | 2,250$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.57 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 2,127$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.43 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Top Esports | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Top Esports | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.93 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Top Esports | 56c | 1,853$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.03 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Weibo Gaming | 44c | 1,816$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 177 | 29.9%53 W · 124 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Top Esports | 57c | 1,732$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.39 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Top Esports | 73c | 1,701$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.01 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Weibo Gaming | 28c | 1,679$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.58 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…79d6backed Top Esports | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Weibo Gaming | 41c | 1,632$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.37 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…60e4backed Top Esports | 62c | 1,586$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Top Esports | 62c | 1,584$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.05 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc5…df4ebacked Top Esports | 62c | 1,584$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdb…2e9dbacked Top Esports | 61c | 1,525$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…3c17backed Top Esports | 62c | 1,524$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Top Esports | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Top Esports | 56c | 1,498$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed Top Esports | 59c | 1,461$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.91 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Top Esports | 46c | 1,453$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.62 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Top Esports | 58c | 1,450$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Weibo Gaming | 39c | 1,441$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.18 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Top Esports | 59c | 1,434$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.67 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Top Esports | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Weibo Gaming | 39c | 1,274$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Top Esports | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Top Esports | 76c | 1,242$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fa…2830backed Weibo Gaming | 44c | 1,200$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d6a6backed Top Esports | 61c | 1,184$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Weibo Gaming | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Top Esports | 78c | 1,155$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Weibo Gaming | 35c | 1,146$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cd…7ebbbacked Weibo Gaming | 41c | 1,116$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Weibo Gaming | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Top Esports | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Weibo Gaming | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Weibo Gaming | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Weibo Gaming | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Top Esports | 60c | 929.97$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…c0eebacked Top Esports | 57c | 916.25$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.05 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Weibo Gaming | 43c | 906.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Top Esports | 49c | 897.55$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.94 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports | 59c | 888$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.08 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Weibo Gaming | 39c | 887.97$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Top Esports | 75c | 831.05$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Top Esports | 61c | 816.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.51 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Top Esports | 59c | 800.43$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Weibo Gaming | 2c | 785.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Weibo Gaming | 3c | 780.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendthis page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.