Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbba3d74ab85b70e26764e628ccdd8fce01ae6f8f762cebf4ce50f45fc3f1802d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Weibo Gaming | 72c | 19,000$13,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,604.92 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Top Esports | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Weibo Gaming | 70c | 7,901$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,569.78 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Top Esports | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.93 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports | 30c | 4,657$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.78 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Top Esports | 28c | 4,507$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.83 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 3,810$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Weibo Gaming | 67c | 2,666$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.3 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports | 57c | 2,480$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.01 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Top Esports | 32c | 2,250$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.77 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Top Esports | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Top Esports | 31c | 1,869$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.25 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Weibo Gaming | 68c | 1,466$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.83 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Top Esports | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming | 67c | 1,358$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.8 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Top Esports | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports | 31c | 1,155$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Top Esports | 32c | 1,059$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.5 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming | 65c | 999.98$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Top Esports | 29c | 986.21$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.21 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Weibo Gaming | 40c | 809.64$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Top Esports | 54c | 737.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.85 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed Top Esports | 29c | 670$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Top Esports | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Weibo Gaming | 40c | 513$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Top Esports | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Top Esports | 30c | 414.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Weibo Gaming | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Top Esports | 38c | 343.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.82 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Top Esports | 29c | 308$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Weibo Gaming | 37c | 237.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Top Esports | 31c | 225.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 200.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Top Esports | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Top Esports | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb72…6c45backed Top Esports | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Weibo Gaming | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 102.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Top Esports | 38c | 80.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Top Esports | 30c | 65.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Weibo Gaming | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Weibo Gaming | 69c | 53.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Weibo Gaming | 68c | 51.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Top Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…6b56backed Top Esports | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Weibo Gaming | 68c | 43.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Top Esports | 29c | 42.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Weibo Gaming | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Top Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Top Esports | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Top Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…9516backed Weibo Gaming | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Top Esports | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…cfaabacked Top Esports | 39c | 29.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Weibo Gaming | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Weibo Gaming | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Weibo Gaming | 68c | 23.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Weibo Gaming | 68c | 22.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.