Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c9e3aa0b69cb929bc30fff2d65bdf62d68902ff4b0fe4a5d29812cbc7c12c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 53c | 11,934$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,325.27 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Under | 48c | 5,529$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.22 | 108 | 31.5%34 W · 74 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 51c | 2,490$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.89 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 47c | 1,786$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.71 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Under | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.12 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 48c | 1,639$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.64 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 1,048$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.91 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 47c | 1,027$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.3 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 50c | 670.68$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.34 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 47c | 644.68$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.68 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 47c | 418.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.59 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 47c | 331.49$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 47c | 268.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Under | 46c | 250.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 47c | 240.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 50c | 179.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Over | 54c | 128.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…9516backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 47c | 95.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 59c | 57.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Over | 54c | 42.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 47c | 21.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.