TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0093…be88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT17454.6%95 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$80.46
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.69
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$85.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.09
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.71
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+224.5%+$58.11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+395.2%+$69.43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+274.5%+$146.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.2
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$92.43
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$11.35
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+118%+$21.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$19.3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$9.39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$9.38
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.