Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35dab113cc02aff66968d6328485f39b341b8bf06c16af4112a792fc6db34921

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,129,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,014,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,129,410 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed No	10c	68,932$6,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,597.13	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcb…a7b4backed Yes	43c	27,258$11,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,671.53	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	10c	24,394$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,894.07	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	16,765$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,893.36	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d8…019ebacked No	16c	16,434$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,592.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	20c	13,154$2,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,493.52	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	15c	12,724$1,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,815.15	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	49c	11,142$5,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,712.02	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	71c	8,876$6,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,578.54	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	30c	7,751$2,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,442.91	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	12c	7,522$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,653.85	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	45c	7,303$3,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,012.66	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	6c	6,824$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,390.22	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	9c	6,573$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,004.35	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	23c	6,306$1,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,870.87	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked No	1c	6,100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.9	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	34c	6,077$2,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060.82	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	49c	5,950$2,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,046.37	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a6…254ebacked Yes	63c	5,913$3,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,178.6	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	60c	5,095$3,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,071.56	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea8…36efbacked Yes	47c	4,989$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,662.41	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	13c	4,925$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,273.21	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes	66c	4,782$3,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,637.28	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+124%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4851…ccf5backed Yes	49c	4,646$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,366.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	4,574$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,389.47	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	7c	4,361$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,046.36	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	58c	4,300$2,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,801.54	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	49c	4,237$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,156.44	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	7c	4,126$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,826.34	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No	62c	4,079$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,539.46	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	29c	4,072$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,871.61	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	57c	4,049$2,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,735.58	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	4,000$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,922.2	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	51c	3,986$2,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,947.75	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	33c	3,802$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.94	308	54.9%169 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	77c	3,800$2,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,910.4	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	7c	3,629$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,374.45	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Yes	55c	3,558$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.29	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes	73c	3,554$2,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$948.96	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	8c	3,449$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,186.81	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d3…8d3fbacked Yes	62c	3,346$2,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.44	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	11c	3,340$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,965.92	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	31c	3,297$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.2	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	3,171$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,038.93	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	51c	3,160$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,615.31	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	57c	3,148$1,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,363.54	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e0…44e0backed Yes	44c	3,013$1,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,688.53	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	37c	2,829$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.55	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	45c	2,773$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,512.15	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Yes	59c	2,714$1,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.67	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	2,710$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,548.01	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	2,702$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,594.34	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	8c	2,680$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470.09	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb603…58febacked Yes	24c	2,661$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,035.33	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	12c	2,562$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.39	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	6c	2,500$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,359.94	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	57c	2,486$1,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.92	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	66c	2,465$1,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,622.34	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	2,451$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,262.37	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	34c	2,402$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,593.07	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	28c	2,342$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,693.72	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	2,301$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,251.78	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	2c	2,244$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,193.97	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked No	42c	2,234$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.8	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	17c	2,207$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.34	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No	31c	2,134$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.6	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f13…1631backed Yes	49c	2,134$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,094.55	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes	9c	2,090$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,898.94	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+5.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	47c	2,068$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.97	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	16c	2,031$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,706.12	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	13c	2,021$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,763.81	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	59c	2,005$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.04	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	14c	1,947$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,667.83	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	12c	1,911$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680.76	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	48c	1,893$909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.04	197	31%61 W · 136 L	+13.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	63c	1,881$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.97	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7368…fd66backed No	76c	1,865$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.77	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	3c	1,846$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,786.68	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	60c	1,836$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.73	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd7…fa0cbacked Yes	54c	1,810$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.34	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	25c	1,806$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.01	153	54.9%84 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ede…47fabacked Yes	42c	1,800$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.6	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbb…41aebacked Yes	16c	1,785$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+110.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	14c	1,757$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,504.57	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Yes	6c	1,695$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,594.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	6cpaid	+747.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	29c	1,688$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.29	149	12.8%19 W · 130 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	1,681$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.5	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8461…d9bfbacked Yes	44c	1,669$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.08	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc9…bedbbacked Yes	6c	1,635$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,536.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.94per pick	6cpaid	+1,550%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	31c	1,617$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.32	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc3…6c57backed Yes	77c	1,597$1,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.54	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	8c	1,564$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.13	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No	11c	1,556$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.52	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	67c	1,551$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.51	275	47.6%131 W · 144 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5c…3748backed No	52c	1,528$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.98	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	56c	1,526$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.75	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	23c	1,522$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.95	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,513$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,435.04	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	4c	1,498$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.57	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed No	55c	1,496$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.79	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event